Two teams having seasons to forget meet at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday. We look ahead this Premier League fixture with our Tottenham vs Manchester United prediction and preview.
Tottenham vs Man Utd Stats: The Key Insights
The Opta supercomputer slightly favours Tottenham, handing them a 39.2% win probability.
Tottenham are winless in their last seven Premier League home games.
But, Spurs are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games against United.
Two teams badly in need of Premier League points face off on Sunday, as Tottenham welcome Manchester United to north London.
Calling the 2024-25 season underwhelming would be an understatement for both Spurs and Man Utd, but if these teams are to gain some respectability out of their Premier League campaigns, then a win in this contest would be a solid start.
Spurs did claim a much-needed victory – their first in the top flight since mid-December – by winning 2-0 at Brentford on Matchday 24, but they have since been dumped out of both the EFL Cup by Liverpool and the FA Cup at the hands of Aston Villa.
Ange Postecoglou has had to deal with a plethora of injuries, but he has also fallen well short of expectations, with Spurs in 14th place heading into MD 25.
Tottenham’s Injuries
Tottenham are winless in their last seven Premier League home games (D2 L5), their longest such run in the competition since going eight without a win from March to October in 2008. Their five defeats in these last seven games are more than they suffered in their previous 17 at home in the league (W13 D0 L4).
Indeed, Spurs are looking to win back-to-back Premier League games for just the second time this season, previously doing so in September when, funnily enough, their two wins were over Brentford and United.
The Red Devils, on the other hand, lost 2-0 at home to Crystal Palace in their last league outing, before fortunately scraping past Leicester City in the FA Cup, benefiting from a Harry Maguire winner in stoppage time that would have been disallowed for offside had VAR been in place.
Since Ruben Amorim took charge in November, only five sides have picked up fewer points in the Premier League than United (14). Amorim is also only the fourth manager to lose 7+ of his first 13 top-flight games in charge of the Red Devils, along with John Chapman (10), AH Albut (seven) and Jimmy Murphy (seven).
That being said, in that same time, Spurs have lost eight league matches, while they have also dropped 16 points from winning positions – more than any other team in the league in that timeframe.
So, which players will be hoping to make a mark on Sunday?
One shining light under Amorim has been the form of Amad Diallo. No player has scored more goals (6) or provided more assists (6) for Manchester United in the Premier League this season than the winger. However, he has not scored or assisted in any of his last three league games, only attempting two shots over this time while creating 10 chances without any leading to a goal.
Spurs will be hoping Bayern Munich loanee Mathys Tel, who was also linked with a move to United in the winter transfer window, can pick up where he left off after scoring his first goal for the club late on against Villa.
Son Heung-min has not hit the heights of recent seasons, though played a part in both of Spurs’ goals against Brentford. In assisting Pape Sarr’s effort, the South Korea star became the club’s outright leading assister in the Premier League, with 69 to his name, overtaking Darren Anderton (68).
Son goal involvements
He has already teed up seven goals this term, only recording more assists in a single campaign in 2019-20 (10), 2020-21 (10) and 2023-24 (10).
Tottenham vs Man Utd Head-to-Head
Tottenham have already beaten United twice in all competitions this season, 3-0 in the Premier League and 4-3 in the EFL Cup quarter-finals.
Not since 1989-90 have Spurs beaten Man Utd three times in a single campaign, while the last side overall to defeat the Red Devils three times in a season were Chelsea in 2012-13.
Tottenham are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games against United (W2 D2) and are looking to complete the league double over the Red Devils for the first time since that 1989-90 season.
Spurs beat Man Utd earlier this season
United have conceded at least twice in each of their last four Premier League games against Spurs – the last team they conceded multiple goals against in 5+ consecutive league games was Arsenal (five between 1975 and 1978).
Tottenham vs Man Utd Prediction
Given the poor form of these two, it is hard to select a winner, and the Opta supercomputer is predicting a tight fixture.
Spurs are made the slight favourites, with a 39.2% win probability.
United, on the other hand, came out on top in 36.3% of the supercomputer’s data-led sims. The likelihood of a draw is therefore 24.5%.
Tottenham v Man Utd Opta prediction
Tottenham vs Man Utd Predicted Lineups
Tottenham predicted lineup v Man Utd
Man Utd predicted lineup v Tottenham
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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