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What early betting lines tell us about Seahawks’ 2025 season | Analysis

This is the way it works these days.

Almost immediately after the NFL’s full 2025 schedule was revealed Wednesday afternoon point spreads were set for every game.

Yes, if you want, right now you can go to DraftKings.com and place a bet on the Seahawks-49ers’ Week 18 game, for which a date hasn’t even been set yet.

One could argue it’s too early for spreads on every game given all that can change between now and January.

But you could say that about season predictions, and there was no shortage of those revealed in the minutes after the schedules were released.

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So what do the spreads say about the Seahawks in 2025?

Let’s look at the line on each game from DraftKings with a brief comment and add it up at the end.

Sept. 7: vs. San Francisco 49ers

Line: 49ers by 1.5.

Comment: This feels a bit surprising given how the 2024 seasons and 2025 offseasons went for both teams. But this may speak to the general perception that the 49ers, when healthy, are still a force.

Sept. 14: at Pittsburgh Steelers

Line: Steelers by 1.5.

Comment: No surprise here. This game is hard to read until it’s known if Aaron Rodgers will be the Steelers’ QB. That will shift the line one way or the other once that’s made clear. For now, the line reflects a game being basically a pick-em with the Steelers favored because they’re home.

Sept. 21: vs. New Orleans Saints

Line: Seahawks by 6.5.

Comment: This is the biggest spread in the Seahawks’ favor, making clear this is the one game they really can’t lose going against a team that will be breaking in a new starting QB.

Sept. 25 (Thursday): at Arizona Cardinals

Line: Arizona by 2.5.

Comment: Knowing what we know now, this game certainly has the feel of a toss-up, as reflected by the line.

Oct. 5: vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Line: Tampa Bay by 1.5.

Comment: This one might seem surprising on the surface. But the last image of Tampa Bay in the eyes of the oddsmakers is a close loss to Washington in the wild-card round of the playoffs while the Seahawks were sitting at home.

Oct. 12: at Jacksonville Jaguars

Line: Jacksonville by 1.5.

Comment: This one also might seem surprising given the Jags went 4-13 last season. Obviously the expectation is that Jacksonville will be much improved under Liam Coen.

Oct. 20 (Monday): vs. Houston Texans

Line: Seahawks by 1.5.

Comment: The Seahawks’ historic home-field prime-time dominance — which has often been MIA in recent years — surely plays into them being favored against a Texans team favored to win the AFC South again.

Nov. 2: at Washington Commanders

Line: Washington by 5.5.

Comment: No surprise that this line is the biggest of the season as the Seahawks are on the road on a Sunday night against the surprise team of 2024.

Nov. 9: vs. Arizona Cardinals

Line: Seahawks by 1.5.

Comment: Another game that is regarded as a pick-em with the Seahawks getting the nod for the home field.

Nov. 16: at Los Angeles Rams

Line: Los Angeles by 4.5.

Comment: Rams are generally considered the favorites in the NFC West, so this line makes sense. It also shows the NFC West is expected to be competitive this season.

Nov. 23: at Tennessee Titans

Line: Seahawks by 1.5.

Comment: Might have thought the Seahawks would be favored by more. But all road games in the NFL can be tricky, and the addition of Cam Ward surely leads the oddsmakers to think Tennessee will be better this season.

Nov. 30: vs. Minnesota Vikings

Line: Seahawks by 1.5.

Comment: Vikings fans might question this one given how last season unfolded. But the Vikings have a big question mark at quarterback in J.J. McCarthy, who missed his rookie season because of injury and is taking over for new Seahawks QB Sam Darnold. That’s undoubtedly reflected in the line.

Dec. 7: at Atlanta Falcons

Line: Atlanta by 1.5.

Comment: If Michael Penix Jr. proves as good for an entire season as he looked for a few games last year, this line might grow a little more in Atlanta’s favor.

Dec. 14: vs. Indianapolis Colts

Line: Seahawks by 3.5.

Comment: This is the second-largest spread in favor of Seahawks, which makes sense coming in a late-season home game against a team with its own QB questions. Will Anthony Richardson finally prove worth the draft investment the team made in him two years ago?

Dec. 18 (Thursday): vs. Los Angeles Rams

Line: Rams by 1.5.

Comment: All the lines in the NFC West games seem to make clear the oddsmakers view Lumen Field as worth three points for the Seahawks.

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Dec. 27 or 28: at Carolina Panthers

Line: Seahawks by 1.5.

Comment: If you’re confident in how good the Seahawks might be this season, this might be a good spread to lock in now.

Jan. 3 or 4: at San Francisco 49ers

Line: San Francisco by 4.5.

Comment: The bookend to the season is a trip to Santa Clara to play the 49ers, favored by three more points than in the opener at Lumen.

Add that up, and the Seahawks are favored in seven games, meaning the oddsmakers project them to go 7-10 in 2025.

That’s in line with what seems to be the consensus of the win-total over-unders Vegas has for the Seahawks at 7.5.

Most interesting may be the first half of the season.

When the Seahawks’ schedule was released Wednesday, many looked at the first two months and decided it’s pretty realistic for them to stand at least 5-2 heading into their bye week and a trip to Washington that kicks off a stretch of three of four on the road in November that looms as pivotal to their season.

The oddsmakers have that flipped with the Seahawks underdogs in five of their first seven. That might be a tough hole for the Seahawks to climb out of if that comes to fruition.

Now for the Seahawks to prove them wrong.

Bob Condotta: bcondotta@seattletimes.com. Bob Condotta covers the Seahawks for the Seattle Times. He provides daily coverage of the team throughout the year.

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