2025 NBA Finals - Game Three
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Pacers vs Thunder NBA Finals Game 4 Preview, Betting Odds, Prediction
The 2025 NBA Finals continue tonight as the Indiana Pacers host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
With the Pacers holding a 2-1 series lead, this pivotal matchup could dramatically shift the trajectory of the Finals, making it a must-watch for basketball fans and bettors alike.
History shows that teams leading 2-1 in the NBA Finals win the series nearly 80% of the time.
A Game 4 victory would push Indiana to a dominant 3-1 lead, increasing that probability to 97%.
For Oklahoma City, a win would even the series at 2-2 and restore home-court advantage, turning the Finals into a best-of-three showdown.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the engine of Oklahoma City’s offense throughout the postseason.
The league MVP is averaging over 30 points per game in the playoffs and is coming off another stellar Game 3 performance.
Alongside Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams has been crucial, contributing consistent scoring outputs, including a 26-point effort in the last game.
On Indiana’s side, Tyrese Haliburton continues to rise to the occasion, exhibiting clutch leadership.
His near triple-double in Game 3 (22 points, 11 assists, and 9 rebounds) helped the Pacers secure their 116-107 victory.
Bennedict Mathurin, coming off a remarkable 27-point burst off the bench, has been a game-changer, giving Indiana a decided edge in bench production.
Bench production has been a decisive factor in this series.
The Pacers’ second unit outscored the Thunder’s 49-18 in Game 3, with strong showings from Mathurin and T.J. McConnell. Conversely, Oklahoma City’s reserves struggled, with key contributors receiving limited opportunities.
To win Game 4, OKC must find more from their bench to counter Indiana’s depth.
Betting Odds and Predictions
The Thunder are entering Game 4 as 6-point favorites despite playing on the road, with the over/under set at 226.5.
Oklahoma City’s dominant regular-season performance, led by a historic point differential, contributes to their favored status.
However, Indiana has shown incredible resilience, particularly in close games, going 9-1 in “clutch” playoff situations.
Expect this matchup to hinge on which team can execute better down the stretch.
If Indiana’s bench can maintain its dominance and Haliburton stays aggressive, the Pacers could take a stranglehold on the series.
On the other hand, if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander manages to draw support from key role players, the Thunder have the firepower to pull even.
Final Thoughts
Game 4 promises to be a high-stakes affair with enormous ramifications for both franchises.
Whether the Pacers solidify their control or the Thunder claw back into contention, tonight’s game will likely define the direction of the 2025 NBA Finals.
Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. Grab your popcorn; this one’s going to be a thriller.
Prediction – Pacers Moneyline
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