It's becoming painfully clear that if the Miami Heat is going to avoid "running it back" next season, there's only one trade package or collection of players that will be utilized to reshuffle the roster: Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, and/or Andrew Wiggins.
And if I had to make an educated guess, I'd lean toward Rozier and Wiggins as the two most likely suitors for the Heat to use in a trade heading into the start of free agency. To be perfectly honest, I'm not confident the Heat will be able to get a deal done that they like. With the way the Heat operates, they're not generally a team (as of late) that makes [changes just for the sake of change](https://x.com/flasportsbuzz/status/1939385952767820135).
But if the Heat want to avoid running it back, they have to hope that a team can find value in Rozier's expiring contract and/or Wiggins as a potential final piece of their championship puzzle. Because, if not, the Heat are going to do the very thing that much of the fan base didn't want to see them do - run it back next season with essentially the same roster.
The Heat can't get out of their own way
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Over the last few offseasons, this is what has plagued the franchise and what has sparked a real disconnect between the front office and the fan base. The last time the Heat made a significant trade or move to add to the roster (not including the Jimmy Butler deal) was in 2021, when they acquired Kyle Lowry via sign-and-trade. And we all know how that move turned out.
Since then, though, the Heat have failed time and time again to pull off a big move. It has led to a stale roster and a dejected fan base. During his end-of-the-year press conference, Pat Riley [touted not just change, but big changes](https://allucanheat.com/5-takeaways-from-pat-riley-heat-2024-25-press-conference) as a common theme heading into this offseason. However, at least for now, it's looking more and more like there won't be much of it this summer, either.
Maybe Riley put all his eggs in the Kevin Durant basket. Maybe he envisioned that Giannis Antetokounmpo would hit the trade market and demand a trade to Miami. Maybe Riley truly believed that the Heat would be able to maneuver some sort of facelift to the roster. But, once again, things are trending in the opposite direction, and the stars have not perfectly aligned for Miami.
And if it truly is up to Rozier's contract and Wiggins as the only path for the Heat to achieve any type of change heading into next season, there's a brutal reality that is going to hit this franchise.
At this point, the Heat may need to pull some magic out of their hat to salvage the franchise. If not, it's probably going to be time to genuinely tear down this roster for good. And, hey, maybe that ends up being the real change Riley was talking about.