A player is worth whatever a team is willing to pay him In Trevor Lawrene's case, the Jacksonville Jaguars thought he deserved a monster deal worth $275 million. So far, the decision hasn't panned out the way the Jags expected, and that's led Gary Davenport to give the fifth-year quarterback an unflattering label.
Davenport drew up a list of the most overpaid NFL players ahead of 2025 and included Lawrence, noting that the move made sense based on his past production, but he hasn't held up his end of the bargain.
"His 22-38 record as a starting quarterback is far from solely his fault—the 25-year-old hasn't exactly been put in the best position," Davenport wrote. "Liam Coen will be his third head coach in five years, and Jacksonville's offense is below average on a good day."
Davenport continued, "But Lawrence has failed to hit even 15 touchdown passes in two of four professional campaigns and has averaged 11.5 interceptions per season."
While Lawrence is entrenched as behind center in 2025, Davenport goes on to say that speculation about his future in Jacksonville will continue if he fails to put it all together, and that's a reasonable position to take.
It's true that the Jaguars haven't put Lawrence in a position to succeed, but he hasn't been consistent enough throughout his career to put questions about his viability as a starting quarterback to rest.
Surprisingly, teammate Tyson Campbell also made the cut, with Davenport stating that bad teams often overpay their own players to attract free agents when coming up with an explanation for why the Jags paid the fifth-year cornerback.
Other players who popped up on Davenport's list were running back Rhamondre Stevenson (New England Patriots), wide reciever Christian Kirk (Houston Texans), tight end Cole Kmet (Chicago Bears), offensive tackle Dan Moore (Tennessee Titans), offensive lineman Aaron Banks (Green Bay Packers), edge rusher Rashan Gary (also Packers), defensive tackle Alim McNeill (Detroit Lions), safety Tre'von Moehrig (Carolina Panthers), and linebacker Treimaine Edmunds (Chicago Bears).
The Jaguars will want a return on their investment in Trevor Lawrence at some point
The NFL is a performance-based business, and Trevor Lawrence hasn't performed well the past two seasons. Then again, he proved late in 2022 and the first half of the 2023 season that he can play at a high level, so there's a reason for optimism. In fact, there are several things working in his favor in 2025.
Head coach Liam Coen has worked with Lawrence one-on-one to polish his mechanics. During his stint with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, he helped Baker Mayfield post career numbers and is expected to have a similar impact in Jacksonville.
When it comes to his arsenal, the team's brass got Trevor Lawrence a new pair of weapons in Travis Hunter and Dyami brown. The duo joins Brian Thomas Jr. to give No. 16 the best supporting cast he's had in his career. On top of that, the Jags prioritized beefing up the offensive line in the offseason, so No. 16 should have ample time to drop back and let routes develop.
If that wasn't enough, the defense also got upgrades and should be able to take pressure off Lawrence's shoulders, as he will no longer have to score 30 points per game to win.
Of course, the Jaguars invested in Trevor Lawrence because they need him to play at a high level if they want to have a shot at turning things around. If he doesn't, chatter about starting to look for his replacement will begin (or grow louder).
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