As the 2025 NFL season approaches, the Denver Broncos are generating buzz as potential champions of the AFC West. In a recent ESPN simulation, the team dethroned the Kansas City Chiefs, who have dominated the division for nearly a decade, marking a significant shift in the league’s landscape.
The simulation indicates that Denver capitalized on a series of favorable circumstances, showcasing a roster that is stronger than many anticipated. With improvements made in both the offense and defense, the team is poised to take advantage of the Chiefs’ vulnerabilities. Analysts have noted that the Chiefs’ success in close games last season may not be sustainable, suggesting that the balance of power could shift.
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Aug 23, 2025; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) works on passing drills during warmups before the game against the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images
Denver’s offseason acquisitions, including key players on both sides of the ball, have bolstered their chances. The team has added talent that addresses previous weaknesses, particularly in the defensive line and offensive skill positions. This infusion of talent, combined with the development of quarterback Bo Nix, has made Denver a formidable contender.
Furthermore, the simulation highlights that the Chiefs may struggle to replicate their past success, particularly given the injuries and roster changes they have faced. Denver, under head coach Sean Payton, is seen as a team ready to capitalize on any slip-ups from Kansas City, emphasizing the competitive nature of the division.
ESPN Simulation Projects Denver Broncos to Defeat Kansas City Chiefs for AFC West Crown
Denver Broncos, Bo Nix, AFC West
August 9, 2025; Santa Clara, California, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) after the game against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images
The Broncos may get to top their division by defeating the Kansas City Chiefs next season. This is detailed more in a simulation done by Seth Walder for ESPN.
The AFC West wasn’t so tough after all. Despite optimism from all four teams entering the season, no one separated from the pack or put up a gaudy record. But someone had to prevail.
Denver became the first team in a decade to dethrone the Chiefs from their AFC West crown. Tied with the Chargers at 8-8 entering Week 18, the Broncos secured the division title with an 18-15 win over Justin Herbert, Jim Harbaugh and the Chargers.
The win was indicative of the Broncos’ strengths, as the offense provided just enough help for a smothering defense. Denver finished the season ranked first in defensive EPA per play.
As the season unfolds, it will be crucial for both teams to navigate the challenges that come with high expectations. Denver’s ability to maintain consistency and health will play a significant role in their pursuit of the division title.
Denver Broncos, Bo Nix, AFC West
August 9, 2025; Santa Clara, California, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) before the game against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images
The ESPN simulation suggests that the said division may not be as tough as previously thought, with Denver emerging as a serious contender. If they can continue to build on their recent successes, they may very well unseat the Chiefs and claim the division crown.
Denver Broncos, Bo Nix, AFC West
August 9, 2025; Santa Clara, California, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) before the game against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images
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