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The report below identifies fantasy-friendly and unfriendly NFL defenses. Highlighted statistical variables include success rate allowed, expected points added (EPA) allowed per play, explosive plays allowed, offensive plays allowed per game, offensive pass play rate faced, quarterback pressure rate and blitz rate.
Each week’s fantasy-friendly and unfriendly offense matchups are detailed in a weekly partner piece on fantasy-friendly offenses.
NFL offenses and defense will occasionally be detailed in one or both partner pieces. Standout wide receiver matchups may be more closely examined in the weekly “3 WR/CB matchups to target and avoid” series. Team-level target share and rushing share are frequently mentioned below. Datasets for both can be found in the attached links.
Success rate allowed and EPA per play allowed
Success rate allowed and EPA allowed per play among NFL teams in Week 1:
The Pittsburgh Steelers field one of the best blitz-oriented pass-rush units among NFL defenses, though the run defense should oblige Seattle Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald’s recently stated rushing goals.
The Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings produced remarkably similar defensive results in Week 1. Both defensive units should make their presences felt; however, the two teams’ overall complexions currently profile as pass-funnel facilitators.