Manchester United have quietly crept up the list of favourites to win the Premier League in 2025/26.
The Red Devils sit ninth in the Premier League table after the opening three games, with Ruben Amorim’s side winning one, drawing one and losing one.
But the underlying stats prove that United have been one of the best-performing sides in the division and have only suffered from poor finishing in the final third.
Before the season started, Amorim was given a 0.6% chance of winning the league, but that number has already increased after an eye-catching start to the campaign.
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim after the Premier League match between Manchester United and Burnley at Old Trafford in Manchester in 2025.
Photo by Jan Kruger/Getty Images
Man United now eighth favourites to win the Premier League title
Amorim’s ultimate aim is to win the Premier League at United, but he accepts that is a long-term project at Old Trafford.
This season, Amorim is expected to finish top six, the league title will not be on his mind at all.
But a recent study from CIES Football Observatory increased United’s chances of winning the league up to 2.6%.
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It ranks United eighth on the list of favourites to win the Premier League title, ahead of the likes of Tottenham.
Liverpool are still ranked as favourites ahead of Arsenal, and United can put a further dent in Manchester City’s hopes with a positive result in the Manchester derby this weekend.
Ruben Amorim is making objective progress at Man United
After finishing 15th last season, there has been huge pressure on Amorim at the start of this new campaign.
A shock defeat to Grimsby Town in the Carabao Cup only heightened the speculation around his future, but there are plenty of positives to be taken from the first three league matches.
Amorim struggled against English teams last season, but he has already proven this season that he has adapted and is able to have his United side dominate Premier League matches.
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With City and Chelsea up next, there is an opportunity for Amorim and United to prove they can beat two title contenders.
The title is still well above United’s expectations for now, but Ineos have created Project 150 for a reason and Amorim is on track.