The odds afforded to Spanish football’s two biggest clubs of going all the way in this season’s edition of the Champions League have this week been provided by statisticians Opta.
And they place Hansi Flick’s Barcelona ahead of tournament specialists Real Madrid.
Both, though, find themselves outside the top four.
Leading the way according to Opta’s data are reigning Premier League champions Liverpool, considered clear favourites with a 20.4% chance of clinching glory on the continent.
Next up come a club who have never lifted the Champions League, in Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal.
Taking the three and four spots are reigning tournament holders Paris Saint-Germain, and 2023 winners Manchester City.
Then come Barcelona, who, after coming within a whisker of a Champions League final berth last season, have been handed odds of 8.4%.
Club World Cup winners Chelsea are in turn followed by Xabi Alonso’s Real Madrid in 7th, at 5.8%.
𝐔𝐄𝐅𝐀 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐦𝐩𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐠𝐮𝐞: 2025-26 Predictions 📈
Who will win the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
We've got the results of the 10,000 pre-season Opta supercomputer simulations. pic.twitter.com/BXu7xZxBrB
— Opta Analyst (@OptaAnalyst) September 10, 2025
Conor Laird – GSFN