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Vanderbilt vs Georgia State Prediction: Can the Commodores Avoid Another Gag Against the Panthers?

It didn't seem totally crazy at the time, but in hindsight, Georgia State's 36-32 win over Vanderbilt was one of the weirder upsets of the 2024 season.The Commodores had already beaten Virginia Tech, and took out Alabama a few weeks later, but the running game didn't show up, and the defense went bye-bye in the final minute as the Panthers pulled it out.This time around, Vanderbilt beat Virginia Tech again, shocked South Carolina 31-7 on the way to a 3-0 start, and they should be 5-0 with this, and Utah State up next.Georgia State got walloped by Ole Miss, lost to Memphis, and last week got its first win of the season against Murray State.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia State Panthers Game Preview

Vanderbilt vs Georgia State How To Watch

Saturday, September 20, 2025Game Time: 7:30 PM ETTV: ESPNULocation: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN@PeteFiutak

Why Georgia State Will Win

The Panthers are getting production from the passing game, and they should keep things moving in this.America's quarterback TJ Finley landed in the Georgia State offense, and outside of a few picks, he's been solid so far in combination with Cameran Brown. Brown got hot in the win over Murray State, Finley has dealt with plenty of SEC-caliber teams, and no matter who's under center, the passing game will keep moving. However ...

Why Vanderbilt Will Win

Vanderbilt will get its running game moving.It's easy to let star quarterback Diego Pavia do his thing efficiently and effectively, but after getting stuffed in the win over South Carolina, here come the running backs. Sedrick Alexander and Makhilyn Young ripped up Virginia Tech, Pavia should be good for at least 40 yards, and it'll all work against a porous Georgia State line that gives up well over 200 rushing yards per game.

Georgia State Will Get Vanderbilt's Undivided Attention

Normally, this would be a letdown game for the Commodores, or any power conference team, after taking down teams like Virginia Tech and South Carolina, but not after what happened last year.The Panthers will score first, and there will be "it's happening again" chatter, and then the Commodore attack will take over with a scoring binge over the rest of the first half. Georgia State's passing yards won't be enough to offset the three turnovers.

Vanderbilt vs Georgia State Prediction, Betting Lines

Vanderbilt 41, Georgia State 13 Line: Vanderbilt -27.5, o/u: 53.5ATS Confidence out of 5: 2Must See Rating: 2- Predicting Every Remaining Game

*Consensus Line from BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.*- Bowl Projections

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