We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League game at the AMEX Stadium between Brighton and Tottenham Hotspur with our prediction and preview. Can Spurs continue their momentum despite a tough fixture in midweek?
Despite Tottenham’s strong start, the Opta supercomputer regards Brighton as favourites in this match, with the Seagulls coming out on top in 47.4% of simulations.
Brighton completed a Premier League double over Tottenham for the first time last season.
Only two sides have attempted more crosses in the Premier League this term than Tottenham (89), with their three goals from crosses the most of any side.
Tottenham have had a stronger start to life under new manager Thomas Frank than many fans would have expected, winning four out of five matches and conceding only one goal in all competitions since their league campaign started.
Spurs found a way to dig in and grind out results towards the end of last season under Ange Postecoglou, a switch in mentality that was key in their victorious Europa League campaign.
Frank has since taken it up a notch and the Spurs of this season feel barely recognisable to Postecoglou’s outfit, appearing more cohesive in defence than they do in attack.
This was hinted at by Frank himself in his post-match interview with SPURSPLAY after his side eked out a victory against Villarreal on Tuesday in the Champions League.
Tottenham 1-0 Villarreal
“Very happy with the win, very happy with three points, very happy with the clean sheet, very happy with how we defended throughout the game. We gave very little away,” he said.
“Obviously the offensive side of the game was not as free-flowing. It seems like we weren’t in sync, and we lost some easy balls, touches, passes.”
A trip to the AMEX Stadium to face Brighton will not be an easy task, especially having played what became an arduous encounter against Villarreal, and Frank will surely make changes, possibly introducing João Palhinha and Destiny Udogie, with Brennan Johnson also hopeful of coming back into the side.
Spurs lost both of their league games against Brighton last season, but more relevant is the fact they have won both of their away league games this season without conceding a goal. They haven’t won three consecutive league matches on their travels since November 2020 under José Mourinho.
Brighton themselves have only lost one of their last 10 home games in the Premier League, while their most recent outing at the AMEX saw them defeat Manchester City despite trailing with a third of the game to go.
The Seagulls’ high press will no doubt be a factor in this match, even more so given they are better-rested than Spurs, having a full week between this match and their last.
Brighton have the lowest PPDA in the Premier League this season (9.5), meaning they allow their opponents fewer passes than any other side for each defensive action they make.
They turn these successful pressing situations into genuinely threatening attacks too, attempting the most shots in the league this season following high turnovers (8).
Brighton high turnovers
Nevertheless, Brighton’s start to 2025-26 has been somewhat underwhelming, winning just one of their first four Premier League matches.
This hasn’t stopped Yankuba Minteh catching the eye on the right wing, however.
The Gambian has the highest take-on success rate among players with 10+ attempted in the Premier League this season (65% – 13/20), while only Oscar Bobb (10) has recorded more take-ons in the opposition’s box than Minteh’s six.
Brighton may be able to bring Mats Wieffer back into the fold following a knee injury, but they will still be without Jack Hinshelwood, Maxim De Cuyper and Adam Webster, with the latter expected to miss most of the season.
Yves Bissouma could be in contention for Spurs again. Dominic Solanke, Radu Dragusin and Dejan Kulusevski remain absent, while James Maddison is out for the long term.
Brighton completed a Premier League double over Tottenham last season, the only time they have ever won back-to-back league meetings with Spurs.
Tottenham have lost away to Brighton in both of the last two league seasons but have never lost three successive visits before.
Spurs boss Frank lost his first two Premier League meetings with Brighton in the 2021-22 season, but he’s only lost one of his last six against the Seagulls (W2 D3), all while manager of Brentford.
Brighton vs Tottenham Prediction
In what may be a surprise to some, the Opta supercomputer frames Brighton as favourites for this match, with the Seagulls winning in 47.4% of the 10,000 simulations.
Tottenham’s chances of winning are down at 26.4%, according to our simulations, while the likelihood of a draw sits at 26.2%.
Brighton vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction Opta Supercomputer
Brighton vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups
Brighton & Hove Albion: Bart Verbruggen, Joël Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari, Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma, Danny Welbeck.
Head coach: Fabian Hürzeler
Tottenham Hotspur: Guglielmo Vicario, Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, Djed Spence, Pape Matar Sarr, João Palhinha, Lucas Bergvall, Mohammed Kudus, Mathys Tel, Xavi Simons.
Head coach: Thomas Frank
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 10,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
Premier League Stats Opta
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