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Seahawks have a big rest advantage, a health advantage and the Bucs have quite the flight to get to this one.
Published Oct 03, 2025 • Last updated 5 minutes ago • 3 minute read
Seattle Seahawks defensive end Leonard Williams celebrates after defeating the Arizona Cardinals.
Seattle Seahawks defensive end Leonard Williams celebrates after defeating the Arizona Cardinals. AP Photo
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The lines are from Covers.com and the home teams are in CAPs.
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L.A. RAMS -7 over San Francisco
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Have to give kudos to the Niners for gutting out a tough win on the road against a rival while missing so many important pieces. This one could haunt the Rams down the line.
Minnesota -3.5 over Cleveland in London
The Browns couldn’t have put Dillon Gabriel in a worse position for his first start – across the pond against a strong defence capable of making even vets make rookie mistakes. We’ll definitely be betting the under.
NEW YORK JETS +2.5 over Dallas
Look, the Jets’ season probably is cooked. But there’s some hope for a rare win this week with Dallas coming to town off an emotional Sunday nighter.
PHILADELPHIA -3.5 over Denver
Bo Nix is going to have a lot harder time on the road, across the country, on short rest against an actual defence after that strong performance against the lowly Bengals.
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BALTIMORE +1 over Houston
The Ravens seemingly are in the midst of a season from hell and Lamar Jackson will miss this game with a hamstring injury. But, while the Texans coasted past the Titans, there’s still a lot wrong with Houston. Cooper Rush has a half-decent record as a starter and could surprise some.
New York Giants +2 over NEW ORLEANS
Gotta admit that the Saints were going to be the original pick, but seeing that Jaxson Dart is holding a grudge against the Saints for passing on him actually flipped it.
INDIANAPOLIS -7 over Las Vegas
The Colts were two mistakes away from beating the Rams in L.A. by seven instead of losing by that amount and now are giving seven at home to a much-inferior team. Ashton Jeanty – Michael Myers stance or not – will have a tougher time against this defence.
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CAROLINA +1.5 over Miami
Probably the trickiest pick for us this week. The Dolphins are on short rest and lost Tyreek Hill to that devastating knee injury. This is just the Panthers second home game of the season, so the crowd should be hot.
SEATTLE -3.5 over Tampa Bay*
The Seahawks have a big rest advantage, a health advantage and the Bucs have quite the flight to get to this one. Seattle has played well better than we expected so far this season and can keep it up here.
Tennessee +7.5 over ARIZONA
Even against some of the league’s worst teams, the Cards have yet to look convincing and then lost to two rivals. The Titans likely are heading towards another high draft pick, but we’ll take the points and look for a backdoor cover at worst.
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L.A. CHARGERS -3 over Washington
Jayden Daniels is back, but Terry McLaurin is still ailing. That’s bad news against a great defence like the Chargers’ and the Bolts’ injuries on the offensive line aren’t enough to dissuade this pick.
Detroit -10.5 over CINCINNATI
One thing that’s for sure is that the Lions don’t take their foot of the gas pedal – bad news for the Bengals. Cincy is in disarray on offence and the defence can’t stop a nosebleed.
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New England +8 over BUFFALO
Josh Allen is looking fantastic once again, but the Bills have some problems on defence. The Pats and Drake Maye have been improving and it’s worth noting that the Bills haven’t beaten the Pats by more than six in their past four meetings.
JACKSONVILLE +3.5 over Kansas City
Betting against Patrick Mahomes in prime time is a dicey proposition, but it’s the hook that gets us. The Jags have been playing well and shouldn’t be overlooked in this tough matchup.
Last week: 8-8
This season: 27-36-1
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