The latest rebuild of the New York Jets is off to another frustrating start, as Aaron Glenn and Justin Fields’ new team lost its fourth consecutive game to open the season last week. The Jets will try to snare their first win of the 2025 campaign when they host the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET.
A loss would drop New York to 0-5 for just the fourth time in team history, although the 2020 Jets did lose their first five on the way to a two-win season. The Dallas defense is the worst in the league so far this season, giving New York some hope that it can win in a possible trading of offensive punches.
This will be an opportunity for Glenn and Fields to secure their first Jets win. This team is just starting out on an eventually hopeful road to respectability, and taking the first step of positivity with a win would certainly be meaningful.
The Cowboys come into this game at 1-2-1. Yet Dallas will certainly have its share of backers in the MetLife Stadium crowd, somewhat raising the intensity of a matchup of two teams that might not make the playoffs this season.
Jets vs. Cowboys predictions and best bets
Jets +1.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Over 47.5 total points (-104 at FanDuel)
Justin Fields Anytime TD Scorer (+130 at BetMGM)
NOTE: Odds are based on the best value our experts find while writing; check lines closer to game time to ensure you get the best odds.
The Cowboys have played better at home so far this season, where they won against the Giants and tied Green Bay in an 80-point explosion last week. On the road, though, Dallas is 0-2 and was pummeled in a 17-point loss at Chicago two weeks ago.
New York is returning home after two road losses, and two of their defeats have been by two points, and they also lost by six at Miami last week. The Jets have displayed some signs of life on offense at times, but have not been able to finish games, which is a signature of a team that loses frequently.
Dallas’ defense cannot contain anyone, though, and it just may come down to a matter of who has the ball last between Fields and Dak Prescott. Winless teams can be dangerous opponents for a mediocre opponent such as the Cowboys, and the Jets badly need to stir up some good vibes.
I will take the Jets to finally secure a victory, and soak in it until another possible loss against the Broncos next week. With Fields, Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, New York can aggressively pursue the win on offense. Dallas allows an NFL-high 420.5 yards per game, while the next-worst defense allows 406.8.
The Over will be the best play for this game, and Fields will put up good offensive numbers that please both bettors and fantasy football players alike. The Cowboys have allowed 10 TD passes, which is tied for the most in the NFL, and Fields is obviously always capable of running for big gains and TDs from anywhere on the field.
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Jets vs. Cowboys moneyline odds analysis
How the Cowboys can win as the favorite
Best odds:-135 at Fanatics Sportsbook
New York’s pass defense can be attacked, too. The Jets have allowed seven TD passes, which is tied for 24th in the NFL. Prescott is coming off a game where he did his best to carry the offense, passing for 319 yards and a TD and rushing for another score. He still is on the longshot radar in the NFL MVP odds race.
Prescott did his best to overcome the absence of CeeDee Lamb and the defense forcing him to score often.
Javonte Williams is running hard and providing the Cowboys with a more respectable running game than anticipated. He has already tied a career high with four rushing TDs this season. Williams rushed for 75-plus yards in each of his last three games.
George Pickens capably stepped in for the injured Lamb as Dallas’ No. 1 WR last week. Against Green Bay, he tied a career high with eight receptions and finished with 134 yards and two TDs.
The Cowboys can win if their QN/RB/WR trio outpoints the Jets’ featured three on offense, and Dallas has another advantage at tight end with Jake Ferguson. He is second in the NFL with 34 catches.
How the Jets can win as the underdog
Best odds: -+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Fields is the key to a potential Jets win, as he can bust up the Dallas defense as a runner, and will also see many opportunities to make important plays as a passer. He passed for 307 yards and rushed for a 43-yard TD last week. Fields ranks second among QBs with 178 rushing yards in 2025.
Even good defenses know that Garrett Wilson will get a ton of targets most weeks, as he has totaled 36 already, which leads the AFC. Still, New York’s star WR remains mostly unstoppable. He has five-plus catches and a TD in three games this season and might be headed for a monster outing vs. the Dallas defense. The Fields/Wilson combo could be the winning pairing this week.
Breece Hall finished with 111 scrimmage yards last week and caught five passes. Dallas has allowed four rushing TDs to opposing RBs, and the RPO effect with Hall and Fields will keep a bad defense off balance.
Will McDonald can be a difference-maker on defense, as he has 4.5 sacks in his last five home games. His presence may be another factor in a Jets win.
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