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The report below identifies fantasy-friendly and unfriendly NFL offenses while breaking down possible outcomes from each week’s offensive matchups.
Highlighted statistical variables include neutral game pass play and run play rates, success rate, expected points added (EPA) per play, shifts, motion and play-action pass play usage, offensive play volume and pace.
Neutral game run play rate and neutral game pass play rate
Offensive neutral game run and pass play percentages among NFL teams:
The Seattle Seahawks employ a slow-paced, low-volume and balanced offensive approach. They boast top-four per-pass-play efficiency metrics at both the team (0.275 EPA per play and 54.1% positive EPA rate) and quarterback level.
Seahawks No. 1 wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s 33.9% team target share ranks second among NFL pass catchers. Seahawks tight end AJ Barner is one of 15 NFL tight ends with 10 targets in Week 4-5. He caught all 10 for 85 receiving yards (2.07 yards per route run (YPRR)) and three touchdowns, and his 86.9 PFF receiving grade ranks first among qualifying NFL tight ends during that span. His theoretical 2025 TE1 profile is detailed here.