The New England Patriots are back on the road in Week 6 as they head to New Orleans to take on Spencer Rattler and the New Orleans Saints.
Momentum is riding high coming off a thrilling 23-20 victory over the Buffalo Bills, but the team must remain focused to beat a Saints team that also won last weekend.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET, with the game airing on CBS. Those looking to wager on this matchup are in luck: sportsbooks offer a variety of markets, providing a greater sense of investment in the game.
The oddsmakers favor New England as the Patriots are 3.5-point favorites across all of Massachusetts’ top sportsbooks. The over/under is 45.5 or 46 points, depending on the platform.
Patriots vs. Saints predictions and best bets
Patriots Moneyline: -184 at FanDuel
Stefon Diggs Over 4.5 Receptions: -154 at DraftKings
TreVeyon Henderson Over 9.5 Rush Attempts: -105 at Fanatics
The public is probably overrating New England following its victory over Buffalo, but there is still a lot to like about this Patriots squad. They hit the road with a lot of confidence, but they should be able to outmatch New Orleans with their efficient offensive play.
The search for a star pass catcher in New England is over. Stefon Diggs went nuclear last week with 10 catches and 146 yards. It’s even more absurd when you realize he did it on a 50% snap rate. The veteran wideout has been playing on limited snaps this season to ensure he’s good to go after last year’s ACL injury. I assume he’s going to be out in full force the rest of the way.
With RB Antonio Gibson lost for the season, the Patriots are down to two leading ball carriers in Rhamondre Stevenson and rookie TreVeyon Henderson. With Stevenson’s ball security concerns, the Patriots may have no choice but to let their rookie lead the way. It should go well for them if they do so.
Patriots vs. Saints moneyline analysis
Why the Patriots could win as the favorite
Best odds:-184 at FanDuel
New England has the nod as the betting favorite, with moneylines ranging from -184 to -198. DraftKings Sportsbook gives the team the highest probability of victory, while FanDuel offers bettors the best value.
New England has played good football this season, but needed a signature win to establish itself as a legitimate threat. We could easily see the team evolve with a new wind under its sails. Mistakes and inconsistency have been two recurring themes, but just a little confidence can go a long way toward cleaning up.
Offensively, the Patriots have found their rhythm through the air. Drake Maye has improved through his second season and is proving to be a good pairing with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. Additionally, the team appears to have a true WR1 in Stefon Diggs, who went off for 146 yards in the win over the Bills last week.
The return of CB Christian Gonzalez has helped this team become one of the better units in the league. In the past two weeks, New England held the Carolina Panthers and Buffalo Bills to 33 total points, and now will look to extend that success by limiting a lackluster Saints offense.
Why the Saints could win as the underdog
Best odds:+164 at DraftKings
New Orleans enters Sunday’s matchup as an underdog for the fifth time this season. FanDuel Sportsbook gives the Saints the best chance to win with a moneyline of +154, while DraftKings offers the best value to bettors at +164.
Last week was the team’s first win of the year. The defense generated five turnovers against the New York Giants, which helped them build a 26-14 lead. They’ll look to continue that trend against a Patriots team that averages 1.6 fumbles per game — the third–most in the NFL.
Despite what the mock drafts will have you think, Spencer Rattler has been a promising quarterback. New Orleans still has a lot of issues, but the second-year quarterback has shown signs that could keep him under center beyond the 2025 season. With the heavy draft capital spent on the offensive line and fun weapons surrounding him, this offense can produce.
The players to watch are RB Alvin Kamara and TE Juwan Johnson, who are mismatches against a Patriots defense that deploys slower linebackers. Both of these veterans are exciting pass catchers who should be able to take advantage of the space underneath and could generate big yardage with the right playcalling.
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