ATLANTA, GEORGIA - OCTOBER 08: Bijan Robinson #7 of the Atlanta Falcons runs the ball for a touchdown during the fourth quarter against the Houston Texans at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 08, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
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An exciting NFL Week 6 slate closes with a Monday night doubleheader that features a Buffalo Bills-Atlanta Falcons interconference showdown and a Chicago Bears-Washington Commanders clash in the nation’s capital.
Here are three player prop bets to consider placing before Monday night’s action kicks off:
* Over 73.5 rushing yards (-115 on BetRivers Sportsbook)
Robinson’s credentials as one of the top running backs in either conference is unquestioned, and if his start to this season is any indication, the third-year back might be primed for a true breakout season. Robinson checks into Week 6 refreshed from his Week 5 bye, and he’s averaging an outstanding 4.9 yards per carry while recording between 72 and 143 rushing yards in each of his last three contests.
The Bills have had their share of trouble slowing down the run, and defensive tackle Ed Oliver’s absence over the last four games due to an ankle injury has certainly played a role. Oliver has shed his injury tag for this game, but he alone can’t completely fix a defense that’s surrendered the fifth-most RB yards per carry (5.0) and ranks No. 28 in both second-level (1.41) and open-field (1.45) yards per carry allowed as well.
Meanwhile, Robinson has an outstanding broken-tackle rate of 35.9% and should have fresh legs after having Week 5 off, giving him a solid chance of cashing this prop in a game where Atlanta should do plenty of running to keep the ball out of Allen’s hands.
* Over 82.5 rushing + receiving yards (-114 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
Croskey-Merritt put his stamp on the Commanders’ ground attack in Week 5, slicing through the Chargers defense for 111 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns while adding 39 yards on two receptions. The rookie continues to significantly outpace his seventh-round draft pedigree, as he’s averaging an elite 6.6 yards per carry with the help of nine runs of 10+ yards.
Croskey-Merritt had the advantage of a favorable matchup against Los Angeles’ porous front seven, but by the numbers, he’s arguably in an even better spot for this Monday night clash against a Bears defense allowing an NFL-high 6.1 yards per carry to running backs. That figure is partly the byproduct of backs constantly getting past the initial line of defense, considering Chicago also ranks last in the league in second-level and open-field yards per carry surrendered.
Croskey-Merritt makes a worrisome opponent for the Bears given these numbers, as he breaks tackles at a stellar 28% rate and is averaging 4.0 yards after contact per carry. Then, with Washington sure to be down Terry McLaurin (quadriceps) and Noah Brown (groin/knee)—and Deebo Samuel also a game-time decision due to a heel injury—the Commanders will need to incorporate several complementary pass catchers. Given these factors, a rushing and receiving yards prop for Croskey-Merritt is in play against a Bears defense that’s also yielded a 19-121-3 line through the air to running backs in four games.
* Over 66.5 receiving yards (-114 on DraftKings Sportsbook)
A big second season [was predicted](https://www.si.com/onsi/fantasy/nfl/rome-odunze-2025-biggest-fantasy-football-sleeper-chicago-bears) for Odunze in head coach Ben Johnson’s offense, and slowly but surely, that’s coming to fruition. The talented 2024 first-round pick opened the season with a so-so 6-37-1 receiving line, albeit on an encouraging nine targets, in Week 1 against the Vikings. He posted 62 receiving yards or more in the next three contests, recording four more touchdowns along the way.
Odunze is averaging an impressive 14.8 yards per reception, as well as 8.5 yards per target after posting a 7.3 figure in that category as a rookie under a different offense in 2024. Odunze already has five catches of 20+ yards as well, whereas last season, he posted just eight in 17 games. He’s also commanding a robust 41.5% of Chicago’s air yards and is averaging a formidable 2.2 yards per route run, giving him a comprehensive suite of metrics to support another strong performance.
That’s further supported by the deficiencies of the Commanders defense, which is allowing an NFL-high 11.8 yards per completion and ranks in the bottom 10 with 6.0 yards per play allowed. Washington has also surrendered 13.0 yards per catch to wide receivers, as well as a 65.2% catch rate to the position. Given Johnson has also had a bye week to prepare for Washington’s defensive scheme and getting the ball to Odunze is a priority, this is a prop worth considering.