Six weeks into the 2025 NFL regular season, the only thing of which we can be sure is that there are no sure things this season. Heading into Week 6, the Bill and the Lions were viewed as the clear leaders in their respective conferences. Both proceeded to get whacked by double digits on the road in prime time, the Lions on Sunday in Kansas City, and the Bills on Monday in Atlanta.
This is a season riddled with chaos and parity, which should be music to the ears of a team like the Houston Texans, whose 2-3 start has been far from a death blow. Sure, it’s not ideal, but the upcoming schedule provides a great opportunity for the Texans to climb back into the race.
While the game on Monday night in Seattle is not a “for or die” in the literal sense for the Texans, a record-evening win, bringing the Texans to 3-3, would be a huge catalyst heading into a stretch of schedule with three home games in a row. All three of those home games are against quarterbacks who are very beatable.
The Texans have the fourth best point differential in football at +47, despite their 2-3 record and bye week in Week 6. They are a talented football team that is kind of feeling its way out of the abyss on offense. Weeks 4 and 5 should at least give some confidence heading into Seattle on Monday night.
For what it’s worth, here is where the oddsmakers view the Texans on the Super Bowl, AFC title, and AFC South odds board:
**SUPER BOWL ODDS (as of October 15)**
Buffalo Bills
600
Kansas City Chiefs
650
Green Bay Packers
750
Detroit Lions
850
Philadelphia Eagles
1100
Los Angeles Rams
1400
Baltimore Ravens
1600
Indianapolis Colts
1800
Los Angeles Chargers
1800
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1800
Denver Broncos
2000
San Francisco 49ers
2200
Pittsburgh Steelers
2800
Washington Commanders
2800
Jacksonville Jaguars
3300
Seattle Seahawks
3300
**HOUSTON TEXANS**
**4000**
New England Patriots
4500
Atlanta Falcons
5500
Minnesota Vikings
6000
Chicago Bears
6600
Dallas Cowboys
10000
Arizona Cardinals
25000
Carolina Panthers
40000
Las Vegas Raiders
40000
New York Giants
40000
Cincinnati Bengals
50000
Cleveland Browns
50000
Miami Dolphins
50000
New Orleans Saints
100000
New York Jets
100000
Tennessee Titans
100000
**AFC TITLE ODDS (as of October 15)**
Buffalo Bills
320
Kansas City Chiefs
325
Indianapolis Colts
750
Los Angeles Chargers
850
Baltimore Ravens
900
Denver Broncos
900
Pittsburgh Steelers
1200
Jacksonville Jaguars
1600
New England Patriots
1800
**HOUSTON TEXANS**
**2000**
Las Vegas Raiders
12500
Cincinnati Bengals
20000
Cleveland Browns
25000
Miami Dolphins
25000
New York Jets
50000
Tennessee Titans
50000
**AFC SOUTH ODDS (as of October 15)**
Indianapolis Colts
\-150
Jacksonville Jaguars
175
**HOUSTON TEXANS**
**650**
Tennessee Titans
20000
At this point, in the AFC, I think the Texans have a whole lot more in common with the teams just above them on the odds board, but a loss, especially a lopsided loss, to the Seahawks would send the Texans perceptually back down to where they were dwelling at 0-3.
This article appears in [Jan 1 – Dec 31, 2025](https://www.houstonpress.com/?post_type=newspack_collection&p=390334).