The New England Patriots host the Cleveland Browns in Week 8 in their first home game in three weeks. The Patriots will look to extend their current win streak to five games and build on the hype we haven’t seen surrounding the franchise since Tom Brady was under center.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET, with the game airing on FOX. Those looking to wager on this matchup are in luck: sportsbooks offer a variety of markets, providing a greater sense of investment in the game.
The oddsmakers favor New England ahead of kickoff as the Patriots are seven-point favorites across all of Massachusetts’ top sportsbooks. The over/under for the game is available at 40.5 points.
Patriots vs. Browns predictions and best bets
Patriots -7: -105 at Caesars
Drake Maye Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns: -110 at BetMGM
TreVeyon Henderson Over 16.5 Rushing Yards: -116 at DraftKings
Not only are the Patriots 5-2 this season, but they are also 5-2 against the spread. Mike Vrabel has the team performing well against expectations, and I like the offense to remain effective against a scrappy Browns defense. That should be enough to win by over a touchdown today.
Drake Maye has been one of the best quarterbacks this year, and the Patriots have continued to rely on him to produce. He’s recorded two or more touchdown passes in five of his last six games, and should continue against a Browns defense that’s allowed that total twice in the previous four.
Things have been rocky for the Patriots’ second-round draft choice, and I don’t expect a drastic change this week against Cleveland. However, there is an overcorrection with the sportsbooks following his five-yard outing against Tennessee.
Henderson has gone for 17 or more yards in five of seven games this year and should receive enough opportunities to go over again this weekend against a Browns defense that may limit Stevenson’s efficiency.
Patriots vs. Browns moneyline analysis
Why Patriots could win as the favorite
Best odds:-357 at BetMGM
New England has the nod as the betting favorite ahead of kickoff, with moneylines ranging from -357 to -380. Caesars sportsbook gives the team the highest probability of victory, while BetMGM offers bettors the best value.
New England has continued to impress this season and is currently on a four-game winning streak, the longest since 2021. Mike Vrabel’s coaching is keeping this team composed and competitive as they look to make it five this weekend.
Offensively, Drake Maye continues to astound. The second-year passer went 21 of 23 through the air last weekend for 222 yards and two touchdowns. His 91.3% completion rate was a franchise record previously held by Tom Brady at 88.5% from 2009.
The defense has also made significant strides since the return of star cornerback Christian Gonzalez. Over the last three weeks, the Patriots have allowed the fifth-fewest points per game. That doesn’t bode well for an inefficient Browns offense.
Why Browns could win as the underdog
Best odds:+300 at Fanatics
Cleveland enters Sunday’s matchup as an underdog for the seventh time this season. BetMGM Sportsbook gives the Titans the best chance to win with a moneyline of +280, while Fanatics offers the best value to bettors at +300.
Although the Browns have struggled this season, the team looked dominant last Sunday in their 31-6 victory over the Miami Dolphins.
The offense was able to find success on the ground, with Quinshon Judkins recording three touchdowns and 84 yards, while Dillon Gabriel stuck to his strengths and played efficiently when needed. It’s clear the unit still has work to do, but it’s hard to complain after a 25-point victory.
Where the Browns have strived this season is on defense. The team allows the fewest yards per game and features a terrifying defensive line led by Myles Garrett, always keeping opposing offenses uncomfortable.
Another potential benefit for the Browns is the team’s familiarity with Vrabel. The head coach spent time last season as a consultant for the team, which could give Kevin Stefanski some extra insight into what to expect this Sunday. New England is the clear favorite, but Cleveland shouldn’t be dismissed.
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