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NFL Week 9 Power Rankings: Chargers surge, Falcons slide

The Colts’ record leads the NFL: No one is playing better than the Colts in 2025, and their 7-1 mark is the best in the league.

The Jets finally get on the board: It took eight weeks, but the Jets finally have their first win of the season, defeating the Bengals 39-38.

Estimated Reading Time: 24 minutes

The power rankings below provide clear tiers on each NFL team's market assessment, offering a comprehensive view of team standings and future prospects. All of the information below and more can be found in PFF’s power rankings tool, which is available with a PFF+ subscription.

It’s important to note that these rankings consider more than just win-loss records and playoff seeding. Factors like player and team-level grades, offensive and defensive efficiency, prior performance from past seasons, and strength of schedule all play a role. This is why teams with worse records and slimmer playoff hopes may rank higher than those with better records who have managed wins against weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key players.

1. Kansas City Chiefs (No change)

Chance of making playoffs: 85%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 15%

The Chiefs’ offense has held the throttle down in recent weeks and is now second in EPA per play after running over the Commanders 28-7 in Week 8. With RasheeRice back in the lineup, the Chiefs’ offense arguably looks as good as it has in years. At 5-3 on the season, they’re rounding into form at the right time. The goal has never remained so clear.

2. Green Bay Packers (Up 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 91%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 10%

After a slow start, the Packers hit their stride in the fourth quarter, burying any chance of Aaron Rodgers exacting revenge over his former team on Sunday night as Jordan Love completed a franchise-record 20 straight passes, earning an 81.2 overall PFF grade. The Packers are now 5-1-1, have won three consecutive games and are third in offensive EPA per play. They’ve often, fairly, been accused of playing down to inferior opponents, but the Steelers provided stout opposition on Sunday night.

3. Detroit Lions (Down 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 84%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 8%

The Lions ran through the Buccaneers in Week 7, moving to 5-2 before their Week 8 bye. After losing to the Chiefs a week prior, the Lions needed to remind the rest of the league just how good they can be. And with the trade deadline fast approaching, they could be in the market for defensive talent, particularly in the secondary. For now, Detroit’s defense is seventh in EPA per play allowed and looks great, but expect the Lions to be aggressive buyers.

4. Buffalo Bills (Up 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 90%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 12%

There have been no reservations about the Bills' offense in 2025. Buffalo has continually been one of the best units in the NFL, and helped heap 40 points on a hapless Panthers team without Bryce Young in Week 8. That win boosts the Bills to 6-2, and their AFC East odds to 61%, while the offense sits fifth in EPA per play.

5. Los Angeles Rams (Down 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 86%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 8%

The Rams were on a well-earned rest week in Week 8 after defeating the Jaguars a week ago. Even without Puka Nacua, whose 92.6 grade leads all receivers, the Rams’ offense was hot in London. LA will look to stay on track with a win against the Saints in Week 9, and will hope to have Nacua back in the lineup.

6. Baltimore Ravens (Up 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 57%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%

The Ravens pulled a fast one, with Tyler Huntley stepping in for the seemingly healthy, not-so-healthy Lamar Jackson, who missed his third straight game with injury. Ultimately, it didn’t matter for the Ravens, who picked up their first win since Week 2 in a 30-16 effort over the Bears. Hopefully for Ravens fans, Jackson — whose 62.5 overall PFF grade is 29th among quarterbacks — will be back and ready to rock in Week 9 against the Dolphins on Thursday night.

7. Philadelphia Eagles (Down 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 88%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%

The Eagles rolled to a 38-20 victory over the Giants, exacting revenge for a humbling loss a few weeks prior. The offense has been finding a groove in recent weeks; Jalen Hurts generated a 63.1 grade against the Giants, tossing four touchdowns in the process. The Eagles are now 6-2 heading into a Week 9 bye, and the Super Bowl champions are starting to build a little momentum.

8. Denver Broncos (Up 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 76%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%

In the battle of the unstoppable force vs. the immovable object, it was the Broncos' defense that prevailed. The Broncos were rampant over the Cowboys on Sunday afternoon — scoring a season-high 44 points, their highest total since Week 7 of the 2018 season — while holding the Cowboys to just 24 points. At 6-2, the Broncos are sitting atop the AFC West all on their own, and the defense is still fourth in EPA per play allowed.

9. Los Angeles Chargers (Up 4)

Chance of making playoffs: 69%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 4%

The Chargers cleaned up nicely on Thursday Night Football, moving to 5-3 on the season after defeating the Vikings 37-10 in one of their best offensive performances of the year. Having tackle Joe Alt back in the lineup was significant for the Chargers and Justin Herbert, whose 90.0 overall PFF grade is fourth among quarterbacks in 2025. Showings like that, against one of the best defenses in the NFL, are always welcome.

10. Houston Texans (Up 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 41%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%

The Texans delivered a much-needed win in a tough spot, defeating the 49ers 26-15 to move to 3-4 on the season. Catching the rampant Colts will be a tough task, but if the Texans can string together performances of a similar nature in the next few weeks — something they’ve struggled to do in 202 — they’ll be in a much better stead to challenge. If in doubt, believe in Houston’s defense, which ranks first in EPA per play allowed.

11. Seattle Seahawks (Down 3)

Chance of making playoffs: 67%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%

The Seahawks were one of three NFC West teams to enter Week 8 on a bye after defeating the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football in Week 7. At 5-2, the Seahawks are on a two-game winning streak and face a reeling Commanders team in Week 9. The passing game, led by Sam Darnold (92.0 grade; 1st) and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (92.1 grade; 2nd), is among the best in the league, and the defense continues to present itself more in Mike Macdonald’s vision.

12. Indianapolis Colts (Down 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 90%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%

The Colts are doing what good teams do: Taking care of inferior competition without needing to shift out of first gear. A 38-14 win over the Titans in Week 8 lifts the Colts to 7-1, retaining sole position of the top seed in the AFC — as well as all of football — before a tough trip to the Steelers in Week 9. JonathanTaylor was at the center of the onslaught, rushing for 153 yards and two touchdowns while adding two catches for 21 yards and a receiving touchdown.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Down 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 91%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%

It wasn’t a stellar day for the Buccaneers' offense, which has maybe lost a little momentum in recent weeks due to the continuous string of injuries to key offensive players, but defense and special teams stepped up in a 23-3 win against the New Orleans Saints. The defense forced four turnovers, scoring a touchdown in the process, while Chase McLaughlin converted on three field goals. Tampa Bay’s defense is quietly third in EPA per play allowed. The Buccaneers head into a Week 9 bye, hoping to return in Week 10 just a little bit healthier.

14. Washington Commanders (Up 9)

Chance of making playoffs: 17%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%

After their third straight loss, the Commanders’ season is on life support. With Jayden Daniels injured, the offense was slowed for the second straight week, this time against a strong Chiefs defense. At 3-5, the Commanders have just a 17% chance of making the playoffs. Washington’s defense, which has surrendered 32.3 points per game in its last three games, is now 26th in EPA per play allowed.

15. Minnesota Vikings (Down 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 14%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%

The Vikings have lost two straight games after their humbling 37-10 loss to the Chargers on Thursday night, and at 3-4, they feel like a team that’s going through a regression. Carson Wentz, predictably, isn’t the answer at quarterback, but he gutted through a shoulder injury and will now miss the rest of the season. Things aren’t going to get easier for the Vikings. They have the toughest remaining schedule in the league and increased uncertainty at quarterback. The defense is 11th in EPA per play allowed, but it still has the potential to be one of the best in the NFL. The waters in Minnesota are murky.

16. New England Patriots (Up 3)

Chance of making playoffs: 80%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%

The Browns’ offense was never going to give the Patriots too many problems, but their defense is one of the top units in the NFL — they aimed to make life tough for one of the hottest units in the NFL right now. Cleveland tried, but ultimately couldn’t stop Drake Maye and company. The Patriots are now 6-2 and have an 80% of making the postseason. Maye was exceptional once more and has a legitimate case to be the MVP favorite at the halfway point of the season. His 87.1 overall PFF grade is fifth among quarterbacks.

17. San Francisco 49ers (Down 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 73%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%

The 49ers have weathered a storm of injuries in 2025 and still have one of the best records in the NFL, but they were met by a buzzsaw in the form of the Texans’ defense in Week 8. The offense recorded nine total drives in the game. Five ended with a punt, while two of the other four concluded with a turnover. Now at 5-3, the 49ers still have a 73% chance to make the playoffs, but can’t afford to slip up in what could be a tight NFC playoff picture. The impending return of Brock Purdy, who was limited in practice last week, could help a 49ers offense that is 18th in EPA per play.

18. Pittsburgh Steelers (Down 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 46%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%

The Steelers came close, but couldn’t give Aaron Rodgers the win against his former team. The offense staggered, averaging 4.9 yards per play, though the veteran quarterback compiled a 75.9 grade in the loss — his third-best grade of the season. The Steelers are now 4-3, having lost their last two games, and face the Colts and Chargers in their next two contests. Their playoff odds have dropped to 46%; could things get a little dicey?

19. Jacksonville Jaguars (Up 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 44%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%

The Jaguars' Week 8 bye came at the perfect time. Back-to-back losses against playoff-caliber opponents highlighted some fragilities of the team, particularly the offensive line. A week of getting things right and ironing out the kinks will hopefully aid a 4-3 Jaguars squad still aiming to make the postseason in Liam Coen’s first season in charge. No quarterback has been pressured at a higher rate than Trevor Lawrence (49.1%) over the last three weeks. That has to change.

20. Chicago Bears (Down 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 28%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%

The Bears couldn’t slow down a Tyler Huntley-led offense, while also failing to consistently move the ball against a poor Ravens defense. That’s concerning on two fronts, but the sky certainly isn’t falling in Chicago just yet. Sure, CalebWilliams’ performances have been a little disjointed in recent weeks, but it’s early days in the Ben Johnson era. The Bears are top 20 in EPA per play on both sides of the ball. Incremental progress.

21. Arizona Cardinals (Up 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 5%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

The vibes can’t be good in Arizona. The Cardinals are fresh off a bye week after losing five straight games, and have the seventh-toughest remaining schedule in the NFL. Kyler Murray, whose 72.1 overall PFF grade is 16th among quarterbacks in the NFL, should be ready to go against the Cowboys in Week 9, but do the Cardinals have a quarterback controversy impending? Jacoby Brissett has performed well in recent weeks, and though Murray will likely start once again, there’s something to keep an eye on.

22. Dallas Cowboys (Down 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 12%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

A red-hot Cowboys offense fell apart against one of the best defenses in the NFL on Sunday afternoon, falling 44-24 to the Denver Broncos. Dak Prescott, who ranks fourth among quarterbacks in overall PFF grade, languished against the Broncos, while the faltering defense — whose 47.0 grade is dead-last in the NFL — allowed 44 points to an offense that hadn’t quite looked all that cohesive. The Cowboys still have the offensive juice, but this defense can and will hold them back.

23. Atlanta Falcons (Down 6)

Chance of making playoffs: 20%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

With Michael Penix Jr. sidelined, the Falcons had the opportunity to put veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins in the shop window, sans top receiver Drake London. The results were not good. After an exceptional win against the Bills in Week 6, the Falcons have regressed. Totaling just 213 yards against the worst defense in the NFL is a near-footballing crime, and the Falcons’ defense has dropped to 14th in EPA per play.

24. Carolina Panthers (No change)

Chance of making playoffs: 22%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

The Panthers fell to the Bills without a fight in Week 8, losing 40-9 and failing to score a touchdown until the fourth quarter. Without Bryce Young, the offense flatlined. Andy Dalton compiled a 42.6 overall PFF grade while recording four turnover-worthy plays. However, rookie receiver Tetairoa McMillan flashed again, catching 7-of-10 targets for 99 yards on an 85.9 grade. This game is one the Panthers will want to put behind them, and now their playoff odds sit at 22%.

25. New York Giants (No change)

Chance of making playoffs: 2%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

Week 8 couldn’t have gone much worse for the Giants, falling 38-20 to the Eagles while also losing running back Cam Skattebo for the rest of the season to a dislocated ankle. That’s tough. Skattebo, whose 80.5 overall PFF grade is third among running backs, had been playing excellent football and had become something of an emotional driving force for the offense. The Giants are going to have to rely on rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart to carry the load.

26. Las Vegas Raiders (No change)

Chance of making playoffs: 4%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

Heading into a bye week after a 31-0 loss can never be a good thing, but equally, it might have been the perfect time for the 2-5 Raiders. The offense continues to underwhelm, sitting 30th in EPA per play, while the defense places 22nd. A coach of Pete Carroll’s stature absolutely deserves ample time to turn the ship around, but the results of this magnitude have come out of the blue. Can the Raiders bounce back against the Jaguars in Week 9?

27. Miami Dolphins (Up 2)

Chance of making playoffs: 2%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

A big win for the Dolphins against a Falcons team that had been inconsistent all year, but with a defense that has subtly presented itself as one of the top units in the league. It did not feel like that against a Dolphins offense that looked as good as it has all season, with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa compiling an 82.6 overall PFF grade while tossing four touchdowns. His average time to throw of 2.23 seconds was his fastest of the year. When he gets the ball out quickly and on time, he can help this offense.

28. Cincinnati Bengals (Down 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 13%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%

The Bengals had everything lined up perfectly for them. It was an excellent opportunity to continue to close the gap on the Steelers atop the AFC North; the Bengals just needed to beat a winless Jets team that scored only 17 points in its last eight quarters of football. Instead, Cincinnati faltered, giving up 39 points to the Jets and falling to 3-5 on the season, while the defense slid to 31st in EPA per play allowed. This is one they won’t forget in a hurry.

29. ClevelandBrowns (Down 1)

Chance of making playoffs: 1%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

The Browns exist on two opposed planes. The defense remains one of the best in the NFL — fifth in EPA per play allowed — despite being battered by the Patriots, while the offense is 31st in EPA per play. We’re only a few games into Dillon Gabriel’s career, and he hasn’t been put in the best of circumstances, but his 46.5 overall PFF grade is dead last among quarterbacks. The Browns should start doing the research on quarterbacks in this draft class.

30. New York Jets (Up 1)

Chance of making playoffs: <1%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

The Jets’ offense came to life in Week 9, generating 502 yards of total offense and scoring 39 points against the Bengals to secure their first win of the season, taking their record to 1-7. Though the victory doesn’t have too much weight on the standings, it could be a momentum kickstarter for a team that’s been looking for something, anything, to cling to in a hard season.

31. Tennessee Titans (Down 1)

Chance of making playoffs: <1%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

Another week, another hard loss for a Titans team being pulled by the strong currents of mediocrity. The Titans fell 38-14 to a rampant Colts squad making its case as Super Bowl contenders, but the lack of fight was once again concerning. Dead last in EPA per play on offense and 27th on defense, Tennessee just traded away cornerback Roger McCreary to the Rams. More moves could be on the way.

32. New Orleans Saints (No change)

Chance of making playoffs: <1%

Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%

The Saints made the interesting decision to bench quarterback Spencer Rattler for Tyler Shough during the 23-3 loss to the Buccaneers. Rattler wasn’t having his best game, notching a season-low 35.1 overall PFF grade, but he’s played dependable football for most of the season. Indeed, Rattler’s 70.1 grade is 18th among quarterbacks, but there’s a chance the front office wants to see more from the rookie second-rounder. At 1-7, the risk isn’t significant, but it feels like Rattler has earned at least a little more time under center. However, the Saints are moving into the Tyler Shough era, hoping to put more wins on the board.

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