We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game at the Etihad Stadium with our Man City vs Bournemouth prediction and preview, with the in-form Cherries looking to continue their unbeaten streak.
Man City vs Bournemouth: The Key Stats
Manchester City are expected to bounce back from last weekend’s defeat to Aston Villa, winning 61.5% of the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 pre-match simulations.
City have won all eight of their Premier League home games against Bournemouth – the third-best 100% home win rate in the competition.
Bournemouth are on the longest unbeaten streak of any current top-flight side, going eight games without defeat.
Manchester City suffered their first loss since August last weekend and are aiming to respond against Bournemouth, who are flying high in the Premier League this season.
The Cherries haven’t lost since their dramatic 4-2 defeat at Liverpool on the opening day of the season, and they start the weekend in second after a comfortable 2-0 win over Nottingham Forest last time out.
City, meanwhile, missed the chance to close the gap to leaders Arsenal after their 1-0 loss to Aston Villa last Sunday. Instead, they go into Matchday 10 six points behind the pacesetters.
Pep Guardiola’s side did respond to that loss by reaching the EFL Cup quarter-finals with a comeback win over Swansea City in midweek, but the Spaniard will be keen to quickly bounce back in the Premier League as well after suffering his 50th defeat in the competition last weekend.
City have already lost three top-flight matches this season. It’s the first time they’ve lost as many in their opening nine games of a campaign since 2013-14, but they went on to win the league title that season.
They do have the added boost of being back at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday, having won 11 of their 14 Premier League games on home soil in 2025 (D1 L2). Heading into this weekend, no team have earned more home wins or points (34) than City this calendar year.
And, having drawn a blank last weekend, City will certainly be keen to rediscover their scoring touch, especially as the joint-highest scorers in the Premier League ahead of MD10 (17, level with Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur).
City are averaging just 13.7 shots per game in the top-flight this term, though, their lowest average across a single campaign since 2007-08 (11.1).
Manchester City's Premier League shots in 2025-26
But the key to City’s success will be getting Erling Haaland firing again, should he be fit to feature. The Premier League’s top scorer failed to find the net for just the second time this season in the loss at Villa.
Of the 23 sides the Norwegian has faced in the Premier League, only against Newcastle United (447) does he have a worse minutes-per-goal average than he does against Bournemouth (439), a record he will be keen to improve on Sunday.
Erling Haaland’s sensational 2025-26
Heading into MD10, Man City are the only side in the Premier League this season to spend more than half of their game time in a winning position (51.3%).
This could lead to an intriguing match-up as Bournemouth have spent the least time trailing both overall (98m 13s) and as a percentage of game time (10.9%) this season.
Premier League game states after MD9 2025-26
Numbers accurate as of 31 October 2025
Though they have often struggled against City, Andoni Iraola’s side are hard to beat and have proven that time and time again this season.
Their only Premier League loss came to Liverpool on the opening day, when they were denied by two very late goals. Since then, they have gone unbeaten in eight games (W5 D3).
It’s the longest run without defeat of any current Premier League side and has contributed to their best start to a top-flight campaign, with 18 points from nine games.
And Bournemouth will be hoping Eli Kroupi can continue his recent fine form; he has scored in each of his last three Premier League appearances and is looking to become just the fourth teenager to score in 4+ consecutive games in the competition.
Can Bournemouth Shock Man City?
Man City vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head
Man City have won all eight of their Premier League home games against Bournemouth – in top-flight history, only Manchester United (16/16 v Luton Town) and City themselves (9/9 v Swansea City) have a better 100% home win rate against an opponent.
In those eight matches, City have scored 31 goals and netted more than once in every win. By contrast, Bournemouth have just five goals and haven’t ever scored more than once in a game at the Etihad.
Overall, Bournemouth have lost 15 of their 16 Premier League games against City, with the exception a 2-1 win at the Vitality Stadium last season, which also took place on 2 November.
Man City vs Bournemouth Prediction
Given their stellar home record against Bournemouth, it is no surprise Man City are heavy favourites with the Opta supercomputer, winning 61.5% of the simulations.
Bournemouth’s hopes of getting a first-ever victory away to City sit at just 18.2%, with a further 20.3% chance of getting a draw and continuing their unbeaten streak.
Man City v Bournemouth Opta prediction 2025-26
Man City vs Bournemouth Predicted Lineups
Manchester City: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, John Stones, Rúben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Tijjani Reijnders, Phil Foden, Bernardo Silva, Oscar Bobb, Savinho, Omar Marmoush.
Head coach: Pep Guardiola
Bournemouth: Dordje Petrovic, Álex Jiménez, Veljko Milosavljevic, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Tyler Adams, Alex Scott, Marcus Tavernier, Justin Kluivert, Antoine Semenyo, Eli Kroupi.
Head coach: Andoni Iraola
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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