As the Premier League calendar settles into rhythm, Gameweek 11 brings a slate that looks tailor-made for proven assets. Several heavyweights are producing strong attacking data, while two elite defences are trending towards shutouts. It’s the kind of week where sensible, high-ceiling plays can do the damage.
The figures back it up. Chelsea, Arsenal, Manchester City and Crystal Palace all post standout expected goals, while Arsenal and Chelsea top the clean-sheet projections. There’s room for savvy differentials, too, with Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest offering value. Here are the best options by position for this round.
FPL GW11 clean sheet odds & projected goals
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The attack board points clearly at a few sides. Chelsea lead the way for expected goals at 2.22, followed by Arsenal (2.02), Manchester City (1.83) and Crystal Palace (1.78). Spurs, West Ham and Newcastle also rate well, hinting at an open, high-scoring weekend.
Defensively, Arsenal headline the slate with a 55% clean-sheet probability. Chelsea follow at 41%, with West Ham (40%), Nottingham Forest (36%), Everton (34%) and Fulham (30%) rounding out the leading group. If you’re hunting returns at both ends, this is fertile ground.
Defenders to trust this week
Reece James (Chelsea) is back in rhythm and his club’s uptick mirrors it. Over the last five Gameweeks he has delivered the highest FPL points among Chelsea players, blending attacking intent with clean-sheet access. Enzo Maresca has even used him in midfield at times, tapping his physicality and composure in central zones. With Wolves at home and Burnley away up next, James offers dual-threat upside.
Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal) has quietly become Arsenal’s most reliable route to points. Three goal involvements and six defensive contributions in the last five Gameweeks lead the way for the Gunners. Mikel Arteta’s men have kept seven clean sheets in nine across competitions and conceded just four shots on target in their last five league games. Add Gabriel’s set-piece threat and you have a standout pick and steady hold.
FPL GW11 midfielders to target
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Enzo Fernández (Chelsea) is stacking the underlying numbers. Across the last five Gameweeks he leads Chelsea for shots, key passes and expected goal involvement despite fewer minutes than several teammates. Four big chances have yielded only one goal, and he has created two big chances without an assist—he looks due. A Wolves side with 22 goals conceded already could be the release valve.
Ismaïla Sarr (Crystal Palace) sits at the centre of Palace’s attacking upswing. Among Palace players he ranks second only to Jean-Philippe Mateta for shots, big chances and xGI. Per 90 among midfielders this season, he is 1st for non-penalty xG, 2nd for xG and 3rd for big chances. With Palace unbeaten at home and a friendly run—Brighton (H), Manchester United (H), Wolves (A), Burnley (A)—Sarr profiles as a powerful differential.
Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) remains the Gunners’ most influential attacker. He leads Arsenal for xGI (3.2) over the last five matches but has only one goal to show for it. A haul feels close. He’s a strong play for this week’s away fixture at Sunderland before managers consider a switch to a Manchester United asset in GW12.
Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) is the heartbeat of Forest’s attack, topping his team for shots and xGI over the last five. Leeds’ away form has been poor, with 12 goals conceded in five road games, which puts this home fixture in his sweet spot at a friendly price.
Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle United), at £6.6m, blends creativity, consistency and minutes. Over the last five Gameweeks he leads Newcastle in key passes and xA, sits second for shots and xG, and has four goal contributions in five. His advanced role keeps him firmly in the conversation.
Forwards with fixtures on their side
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Jarrod Bowen (West Ham United) continues to carry West Ham’s attack, leading for shots, expected assists and FPL points over the last five Gameweeks. Burnley at home is a prime one-week punt before a tougher stretch. Burnley rank 20th for shots conceded, shots in the box conceded, big chances conceded and xGC, and 18th for goals conceded this season—green lights across the board.
Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) is spearheading Palace’s climb. He leads the squad for shots, goals plus assists, xGI and total points over the last five Gameweeks. With Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Manchester United (H), Burnley (A) and Fulham (A) on deck, he looks like one of the most underrated long-term forward holds right now.
Should you captain Haaland?
While Haaland is going to face Liverpool, he has been in some form this season. And then given how Liverpool have been a bit sketchy at the back, he could be an interesting punt to take. Moreover if Haaland gets space beyond VVD (if the Reds press high) then there is no catching him, as we have seen from him time and again.