Bucs Playoff Percentages
November 6th, 2025
Calculator crowd explains.
If you believe the numberscrunchers at BSPN, the Bucs would have to have a monumental collapse to not make the playoffs.
Earning a first-round bye is another matter.
Per BSPN, the Bucs have a 92 percent chance of making the playoffs and an 87 percent chance of winning the division. That’s the second-best in the NFC trailing only the Eagles. And while that’s good news, the calculator crowd at the four-letter which is holding football fans hostage in a racketeering stunt with Google, is not so high on the Bucs earning a first-round bye.
To get a first-round bye, the Bucs’ percentages, per BSPN, drop like a rock to 15 percent. No explanation is given but it appears BSPN’s stat nerds believe the myriad of injuries to keep players will catch up with the team in the final nine games of the season.
That may be why The Athletic isn’t jumping through hoops over the Bucs. That outfit projects the Bucs to finish 11-6, meaning the Bucs will barely keep their heads above water in the final nine games with a 5-4 mark.
The Athletic believes the Bucs will win the NFC South but won’t get a bye. They will be the fourth seed.
Like BSPN, The Athletic is very high on the Bucs making the playoffs and winning the division, but less optimistic about earning a bye.
Of course, Joe would love to see the Bucs earn a bye. But, the Bucs took the hard path to win a Super Bowl in 2020, so Joe’s not going to lose too much sleep if the Bucs win the division but don’t get a bye.