Strap in, friends, I’m here to predict the improbable and ridiculous on purpose. Bold Predictions: Week 10, AFC West Edition. If you’re looking for logically supported certainty, this ain’t it. These are swing-for-it outcomes born from malts & hops and poor life choices. I do look at the schedule and matchup data, if that makes you more comfy. But this goodness comes mostly from the knowledge that the NFL does what it wants – expectations be damned.
Surgical Nix Night: 75%+ completions, zero sacks taken, and 10 different Broncos catch a pass.
Nov 2, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) scrambles during the second half against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-Imagn Images
Why It Will Happen: A condensed, rhythm-throw script can neutralize edge pressure and turn first reads into chain-movers. Motion and bunch releases create free access throws that make the ball come out before rushers arrive. Plus, the Raiders.
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Why it Won’t Happen: Early penalties force long downs and deeper drops where Maxx Crosby lives. If Denver trails, the drop-back menu lengthens, and protection stress follows.
Mile-High Mauling: Denver logs 200+ rushing yards and controls the ball for 35+ minutes.
Why It Will Happen: Duo and split-zone into light boxes at altitude can snowball into body blows in the fourth quarter. QB keeper threats widen the edges and help backs hit cutback lanes.
Why it Won’t Happen: A negative script flips the call sheet toward hurry-up throws. If Vegas lands punches on early downs, the efficiency evaporates, and possession time shrinks.
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Tre Tucker Turns the Game: two touchdowns of 40+ yards.
Sep 21, 2025; Landover, Maryland, USA; Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Tre Tucker (1) runs a touchdown pass during the second half against the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Amber Searls-Imagn Images
Why It Will Happen: With the Meyers trade, who else is going to catch passes? Oh yeah. #89. Anyway… play-action posts and slot fades punish Denver when it tries to squeeze Jeanty and the run. Motion stacks can buy Tucker clean releases that turn leverage into YAC.
Why it Won’t Happen: No. 89 is the guy, plain and simple. Plus, if Denver stays two-high and tackles, explosives become mere chunk gains. Pressing with safety help can disrupt timing and take away the runway.
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Red-Zone Rainbow: Vegas goes 3-for-3 in the red zone with TDs from a WR, a TE, and an RB.
Why It Will Happen: Under-center heavies set up glance and leak concepts that produce high-percentage, short-field throws. Personnel swaps late in drives can catch Denver mid-sub and open a free hitter.
Why it Won’t Happen: The Denver defense is elite, and just won’t allow it. Protection breakdowns in the low red force field goals. Pre-snap penalties – which Denver is prone to – can turn third-and-goal into a stall-out.
Tight End Takeover: Chargers TEs combine for 120+ receiving yards, 2 TDs, and 10 first downs.
Oct 19, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers tight end Oronde Gadsden (86) enters the field before the game against the Indianapolis Colts at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images
Why It Will Happen: Chip-release and play-action seams give Herbert easy answers when edges heat up. Route tags like sticks and sail versus zone turn TE targets (hello Oronde) into sustainable drives.
Why it Won’t Happen: If linebackers bracket the middle and reroute at the snap, spacing disappears. A perimeter-heavy plan could funnel targets away from the position.
Fourth-Down Fury: L.A. goes 4-for-4 on fourth downs and hits a successful fake punt.
Why It Will Happen: The Chargers’ tempo and short-yardage menu are built for quick, high-leverage decisions. A fake off a tendency look can steal a possession and flip field position.
Why it Won’t Happen: One early mistake can spook the sideline into punting. If protection wobbles, the sneak and inside duo looks lose their edge.
Mahomes Pulls a Rodman: disappears to Vegas for 48 hours, returns Wednesday, then casually carves in Week 11.
1. Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) reacts during the third quarter of the game against the Washington Commanders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images
Why It Will Happen: The locker room is veteran-proof, and the staff trusts the QB to self-regulate his week. A little chaos can act like a mental bye within the bye and reset the room’s energy.
Why it Won’t Happen: Mahomes’ program runs on structure, and optics still matter. His internal standards slam the door on any mid-bye Houdini act.
Run Game Reboot: out of the bye, Kansas City recommits to a committee, setting a 30+ carry target for Week 11.
Why It Will Happen: Two-high shells invite lighter boxes, and the committee lets them toggle styles without telegraphing plays. More run on early downs protects the tackles and lowers Mahomes’ hit rate.
Why it Won’t Happen: If Denver bogs down, the Chiefs will lean back into the Mahomes’ superpower. The Broncos can crash the interior and dare KC to beat them outside the numbers.
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