Which teams will be relegated from the Premier League this season? Stay up to date with our live Opta supercomputer predictions for the 2025-26 Premier League relegation battle.
The last two Premier League seasons have seen all six promoted sides relegated back to the Championship, which is a worry for Leeds United, Burnley and Sunderland in 2025-26.
Both Leeds and Burnley are arguably two of the strongest sides to ever come up from the second tier, however. The two clubs both collected 100 points in the Championship last season, with it the first time in EFL history that two clubs have won 100+ points within the same division in the same campaign.
Sunderland came up through the play-offs after a comeback win over Sheffield United in the final at Wembley, and they have strengthened in pre-season to give themselves some confidence of avoiding the drop in 2025-26.
Some more established Premier League clubs such as West Ham United, Wolverhampton Wanderers, Everton and Brentford might see their Premier League status under threat this season, while both Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur struggled in 2024-25 domestically but surely they won’t be threatened by relegation again… will they?
You can keep up with the latest Premier League relegation projections by the Opta supercomputer throughout the 2025-26 season on this page.
How Does the Opta Supercomputer Model Work?
Opta’s League Prediction model estimates the likelihood of teams finishing in each position in the competition. We can therefore see how successful a team’s season is likely to be, whether it’s their relegation or title chances.
The model estimates the probability of each match outcome (win, draw or loss) by using betting market odds and Opta Power Rankings. The odds and rankings are based on historical and recent team performances.
The model considers the strength of opponents by using these match outcome probabilities and simulates the remaining fixtures in the competition thousands of times. By analysing the outcome of each of these simulations, the model can see how often teams finished in each league position to create our final predictions.
Premier League Stats Opta
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