The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off their most impressive win of the season. Last week, Pittsburgh dominated the Indianapolis Colts in a 27-20 victory that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated.
With their fifth win in eight games, the Steelers opened up a two-game lead in the AFC North. They must keep winning to stay ahead of the Baltimore Ravens, who can surely reel off a few victories in a row with Lamar Jackson healthy again.
The Steelers must keep the momentum rolling in their Week 10 game against the Los Angeles Chargers. L.A. is seeking a third consecutive win and has victories in three of its last four games. After Denver won its eighth game on Thursday, the 6-3 Chargers want to stick close to the Broncos near the top of the AFC West.
In three road games, Pittsburgh has two wins. The one loss was a two-pointer at Cincinnati, yet the Steelers have already shown they can beat a quality opponent on the road. Pittsburgh beat the 7-2 Patriots on the road in Week 3, 21-14.
Steelers vs. Chargers predictions and best bets
Chargers -2.5 (-111 at Caesars)
Over 44.5 points (-115 at FanDuel)
Jaylen Warren Anytime TD Scorer (+125 at DraftKings)
NOTE: Odds are based on the best value our experts find while writing; check lines closer to game time to ensure you get the best odds.
This figures to be a tight game between two playoff-bound teams. It can also be a preview of an AFC postseason matchup. The Chargers are coming off 28- and 24-point wins in their last two games, but this could come down to a field goal or key play at the end. Pittsburgh has scored 25-plus points in each of its past three games.
I expect the game to finish over the total. Los Angeles has scored 27 points in three of its past five games. The Chargers totaled 60 points in the last two wins, and their deep pass-catching crew will challenge the Pittsburgh secondary.
Warren rushed for two touchdowns last week, and this will be a good matchup to consider wagering on him. Los Angeles has allowed an NFL-high five rushing TDs to RBs over the past four weeks, per NFL.com. The Chargers also rank 21st in rushing yards allowed to RBs during that span.
Steelers vs. Chargers moneyline odds analysis
How the Chargers can win as the favorite
Best odds:-148 at FanDuel
The Steelers rank 29th in passing yards allowed to opposing QBs. This is a favorable matchup for Justin Herbert. The Los Angeles passer has logged five games with 250-plus passing yards, tied for the fifth-most in the NFL.
Ladd McConkey will be one of Herbert’s prime receiving targets. He has a TD reception in two of his last three home games. First-year tight end Oronde Gadsden II is on the rise and can be a key performer. He is second in the league among rookie TEs in receiving yards (453). Pittsburgh ranks 27thin receiving yards allowed to TEs.
The Chargers should be able to limit DK Metcalf’s explosiveness, and the Steelers lack any other reliable WRs. Los Angeles ranks sixth in receiving yards allowed to opposing WRs.
Read our FanDuel Sportsbook review before wagering on the Steelers vs. Chargers.
How the Steelers can win as the underdog
Best odds:+130 at DraftKings
The Chargers have allowed eight rushing TDs in nine games, so Warren will be an essential performer for Pittsburgh as I previously indicated. He rushed for over 100 yards in his last road game. Metcalf is another key player for Pittsburgh. He has 286 yards after the catch, which ranks third among WRs, per Next Gen Stats.
Defense can be the springboard to another impressive week. Against the Colts, the Steelers defense registered five sacks, three interceptions, 13 passes defensed, 3 forced fumbles and two fumble recoveries, becoming the second team since 2000 to do so. Pittsburgh is one of two teams to record five-plus sacks in a game four times this season.
The Chargers have allowed 29 sacks, which is the sixth-most in the NFL. By contrast, Aaron Rodgers has been sacked 15 times. The Steelers rank eighth in the league in fewest sacks allowed.
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