The Philadelphia Eagles entered Week 10 as the top team in the NFC playoff race, and Monday night’s win against the Green Bay Packers only strengthened their push for the No. 1 overall seed.
The Eagles, with a 7-2 record, currently have the best odds to secure the No. 1 seed in the NFC — and the first-round bye and home-field advantage that come with it.
The Birds have a 32% chance to get the No. 1 seed, per ESPN’s Football Power Index. The Los Angeles Rams (28%), Seattle Seahawks (14%) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6%) are next up.
With eight games to go, the Eagles control their path to a bye and playing out a potential Super Bowl run at Lincoln Financial Field. If the Eagles win out, the No. 1 seed is theirs.
Of course, that’s unlikely. The Eagles face four teams (Detroit Lions, Chicago Bears, Los Angeles Chargers, Buffalo Bills) with a 6-3 record or better. They also have three NFC East games left: at the Cowboys and a home-and-home with the Commanders.
But even if the Eagles don’t win out, they have some things going in their favor. They currently own a head-to-head tiebreaker over the Rams (7-2) and Buccaneers (6-3). They also have a tiebreaker over the Seahawks (7-2) despite not facing Seattle in the regular season. Philly’s winning percentage in conference games (6-1, .857) is better than Seattle’s (4-2, .667).
The Lions game this weekend will be a big one, too, for the No. 1 seed. Though Detroit has been a little disjointed since losing both coordinators in the offseason, Dan Campbell’s 6-3 team is still plenty dangerous. The Eagles and Lions kick at 8:25 p.m. on Sunday at the Linc.
There’s also the apparent formality of wrapping up the NFC East. The Eagles have a 98.4% chance to win the NFC East, which would make them the first repeat winners since 2004.
It’s really just a matter of when it happens. If the Eagles win their next two (vs. Lions, at Cowboys) and the Cowboys lose their next two (at Raiders, vs. Eagles), this could be wrapped up before December hits. In that scenario, a Dallas loss to the Chiefs on Thanksgiving or an Eagles win vs. the Bears on Black Friday would clinch the division.
There’s a lot going in the Eagles’ direction right now amid a three-game winning streak. We’ll see if Jalen Hurts and Co. can make it four in a row vs. Detroit on Sunday night.
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