Check out the three best bets for NFL Week 11, including a pick on the total for Bengals-Steelers and picks against the spread for Buccaneers-Bills and Packers-Giants
11:43 ET, 15 Nov 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield drops back to pass against the Buffalo Bills
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QBs Baker Mayfield and Josh Allen, both top-10 picks in the 2018 NFL Draft, face off in Week 11(Image: Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
NFL Week 11 is here, and there are plenty of intriguing matchups and storylines on tap for Sunday.
A total of 26 teams will feature across 13 games this weekend, including eight games between divisional opponents.
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The action begins Sunday morning with the Commanders and Dolphins facing off in Madrid, Spain in the final international game of the year, and closes with a battle of NFC juggernauts when the Lions visit the Eagles on Sunday Night Football.
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Let’s get into the three best bets for Sunday’s slate, including a pick on the total for Bengals-Steelers and picks against the spread for Packers-Giants and Buccaneers-Bills.
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Over 49.5 (-110)
A total of 64 points were scored when these AFC North rivals met in Week 7, so I am backing this one to go over the point total.
Neither defense has been up to standard this year, especially Cincy’s, which allows a league-high 33.3 points per game. Pittsburgh’s defense has been uncharacteristically poor and ranks 28th in the NFL in total yards allowed per game (376).
Meanwhile, the Bengals offense has been able to score at will with Joe Flacco under center, averaging 32.8 points per game in four games since trading for the veteran. Look for both offenses to have their way in this matchup.
Green Bay Packers -7 (-112) at New York Giants
Week 11 will feature the season debut of Giants quarterback Jameis Winston.
Despite the excitement around Winston being named starter, this is a brutal matchup for the 31-year-old to come into. Green Bay’s defense is elite, having held six of its nine opponents this season to 18 points or fewer.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love drops back to pass
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Green Bay's offense has scored 20 total points during its two game losing streak(Image: Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images)
This is a get-right spot for the struggling Packers offense, too, who should be able to get what it wants against an underperforming New York defense.
Look for the visiting team to cover this touchdown spread.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 (-110) at Buffalo Bills
Two Super Bowl hopefuls coming off a loss meet in what is expected to be a cold and windy western New York on Sunday.
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Not much separates these teams, but I give the edge to Tampa given Buffalo will be without tight end Dalton Kincaid (hamstring) and perhaps several key defenders. Per ESPN, the Bucs are 8-1 against the spread coming off a loss since the start of last season.
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