Betting The Bucs (Week 11 Edition)
November 16th, 2025
Through nine Bucs games, Joe has a 14-13 record on Buccaneers-related wagers in this space and is up $112.00 on the season.
That is not special, but it’s more than good enough.
Disclaimer: Do NOT wager if losing will ruin your life, or day, or week.
Lines are from Hard Rock Bet, the Florida-sanctioned sports wagering monopoly.
**The Bucs defense has been solid this season and the Bills are down weapons, including their top dog pass catcher, tight end Dalton Kincaid. The mental errors in the Bucs’ run defense leading to big plays, Joe believes, will be repaired today. And overall the run defense is very solid, so Joe isn’t expecting a Bills explosion on offense today. And yes the wind is howling (video below), with gusts up to 35 miles per hour expected. Joe likes the Bucs run defense to the Bills a bit in this run-heavy contest. Joe’s got the under-26.5 points on Bills scoring.
**This one is simple. The Bucs are getting 6 points and they might be a better and healthier team than Buffalo. It’s easy to say the Bucs are coming in angry after getting rolled by the Dolphins. But the Dolphins are a depleted and weak team. Maybe the Bills just aren’t that good. The Bucs haven’t lost to bad teams like Buffalo has, and that includes a beating at the hands of the Falcons. Joe likes the Bucs to at least keep it close. And Joe predicted a Bucs win in the pregame Ira Kaufman Podcast.
*Good luck!
Wind is cranked up here in Buffalo.
Kickoff 140 minutes. pic.twitter.com/1VnkFDHMmE
— JoeBucsFan (@JoeBucsFan) November 16, 2025