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The PFF Player Prop Tool is designed for one purpose: to provide bettors with a reliable, data-backed edge.
Powered by predictive modeling, matchup-specific data and AI insights, it surfaces the best values on the board in seconds — no spreadsheets or guesswork, just clean, data-driven recommendations backed by the same data that is used by all 32 NFL teams.
And with PFF+ currently 40% off, you get full access to the tool alongside Premium Stats, fantasy resources and every feature designed to help you close out your season with success.
Numbers That Matter
Hit rates, projections, trends and matchup data presented with clarity and updated in real time. Our tool highlights the props with the highest probability of success, so you don’t waste time digging through noise — and once you’ve found a bet you trust, a single click takes you straight to the sportsbook to place it.
Matchup Context That Wins
Look beyond the averages. Understand how a player’s opponent, scheme and usage rate impact the outcome. It’s matchup data made digestible.
AI-Powered Insights
PFF Key Insights uses cutting-edge machine learning technology and unmatched football data to break down advanced matchups and pinpoint key advantages. The tool creates concise, data-driven narratives that explain why a specific player or team has an edge in an upcoming game.
Real-Time Odds and Market Movement
Track odds as they shift. The Player Prop Tool syncs with the market to show you when value appears—or disappears—so you can time your bets accordingly.
High-Confidence Picks Backed by Data
PFF’s betting tools are built to help you spot value. One of the most important metrics is edge, which estimates how much value a bet offers compared to the sportsbook’s line.
It’s calculated by comparing our internal cover probability (the likelihood of a bet hitting) with the implied probability derived from the odds. For example, if we project a 75% chance for a receiver to go over a certain yardage but the sportsbook’s odds imply only a 45% chance, that difference creates a positive Edge, suggesting the bet is underpriced.
A higher Edge means better long-term value. The cover probability itself is powered by thousands of simulations and factors such as team strength, injuries, matchup data, game environment and more. If the cover probability is above 50%, you’re likely looking at a strong play.
It’s important to note that edge is not a win projection — simply a tool for spotting value based on the difference between PFF’s projections and sportsbook odds. Similarly, cover probability is not a guarantee that a bet will hit; it reflects the likelihood of success based on thousands of computer simulations.
Filter the props that fit how you bet
You can also tailor the tool to exactly how you bet. Search by player or game to zero in on a specific matchup, or filter the board by position groups if you're targeting receivers, running backs or quarterbacks.
From there, you can tighten your view even further: adjust the matchup rating to surface only the strongest on-field advantages, sort by PFF’s projected edge to find value the market hasn’t priced in yet, and filter by vig so you’re only considering bets that meet your confidence threshold.
The result is a custom-built prop board that fits the way you bet — clean, focused and backed by data that actually matters.
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