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How the Cavs’ offseason ‘miscalculation’ is haunting their regular season

CLEVELAND, Ohio — The Cavs’ front office had a vision when they let Ty Jerome walk and traded for Lonzo Ball: upgrade their playoff potential at the expense of regular season consistency.

But as the Wine and Gold Talk podcast reveals, that calculation might be proving costlier than expected.

“Over 82 games, absolutely,” cleveland.com columnist Jimmy Watkins acknowledged when discussing whether the Cavs underestimated Jerome’s impact. “I think the Cavs knew how good Ty Jerome was ... It was just a miscalculation of how much they would miss him over the course of 82.”

The podcast dissection of the maneuver highlights a fascinating risk-reward scenario that’s currently playing out in real time for Cleveland.

While Jerome brought reliable bench scoring and undeniable swagger, the organization bet on Ball’s theoretical playoff value as a connector and defender — even with both players sharing concerning injury histories.

What makes this conversation particularly compelling is Watkins’ brutal honesty about Jerome’s playoff performance last year, questioning if his regular season impact was somewhat misleading.

“Was the bark maybe a little bit bigger than the bite? Was that something that we saw in the playoffs last year?” Watkins asked pointedly on the podcast. “At the end of the season, we learned he was part of the collective problem when it comes to the Cavs, mental toughness and playing outside of themselves when they hit adversity.”

Host Ethan Sands and Watkins don’t just lament Jerome’s absence — they examine both sides of the equation, acknowledging that Ball’s playoff potential could still theoretically pay dividends if he finds his shooting stroke.

The Jerome discussion exemplifies the larger identity crisis facing this Cavaliers team. They’ve constructed a roster supposedly built for playoff success, but the regular season struggles raise questions about whether they’ll even reach the postseason in proper form.

Jerome’s absence has been particularly felt during Darius Garland’s injury absences, with the team lacking that instant-offense spark plug who could stabilize bench units.

As Watkins noted, “when the Cavs needed someone who could plug and play and give you instant offense, and Darius Garland’s not out there. Boy, Ty Jerome starts to look about five times more valuable than he was last year.”

The podcast conversation doesn’t dwell on what-ifs — it examines the pragmatic challenges of NBA roster construction.

Watkins highlighted that regardless of Jerome’s contributions, his injury history made him a risky long-term investment, much like Ball.

What ultimately makes this podcast segment compelling is its willingness to challenge simplistic narratives.

Yes, the Cavs miss Jerome’s scoring and attitude, but his playoff struggles revealed limitations that might have eventually become problematic in the team’s championship pursuit.

As the Cavaliers navigate this season’s challenges, the Jerome-Ball trade exemplifies the high-stakes decisions that shape an NBA team’s trajectory — decisions that look drastically different in January than they did in late June.

The Wine and Gold Talk podcast offers fans not just analysis, but a framework for understanding these complex roster calculations that extend well beyond box scores.

Here’s the podcast for this week:

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