CLEVELAND, Ohio — The Cavs held the Charlotte Hornets to just 87 points on Wednesday night, a defensive performance that stands in stark contrast to the 136 points they surrendered to the Oklahoma City Thunder just two nights earlier.
But does one good defensive night actually signal a meaningful shift, or is it merely an aberration that masks deeper issues?
As Cavs head coach Kenny Atkinson walked into his postgame press conference, he immediately declared: “There it is, regression to the mean.” This phrase, along with “shot luck,” has become one of Atkinson’s favorite explanations this season. But the data doesn’t necessarily support the notion that the Cavaliers have suddenly transformed into a defensive powerhouse.
“You don’t become a defense first team just because you gave up only 87 points on one Wednesday night against the Charlotte Hornets,” said Chris Fedor, cleveland.com Cavs beat reporter. “Do you do it over and over and over again? Can that be your pathway to consistently winning basketball games?”
The Charlotte Hornets, who entered the game as the fifth-best 3-point shooting team in the league, shot a dismal 17% from deep, converting just 8 of their 47 attempts. The Cavs themselves matched that exact number of made 3s, shooting 8-of-40 (20%) in what became an ugly offensive affair for both teams.
While the Cavaliers’ interior defense was indeed strong, with Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, and Dean Wade forming an effective wall in the paint, the perimeter defense still showed concerning lapses. Multiple times throughout the game, Charlotte’s shooters found open looks that simply didn’t fall.
“We’ve got more than 40 games of data that show this team being a middle of the pack defense and this team being the worst defense in terms of guarding the three,” Fedor pointed out.
The statistics from Wednesday’s game reveal that despite the win, there were troubling trends that continued for Cleveland.
The Hornets matched the Cavs with 17 offensive rebounds, scored more points in the paint (50-46), and dominated in fast break points (26-9). Charlotte also converted the Cavs’ 20 turnovers into 21 points.
These numbers suggest that rather than a defensive masterclass, the Cavaliers may have benefited significantly from Charlotte’s cold shooting night.
Even ESPN analyst Richard Jefferson, known as one of the biggest Cavs supporters in broadcasting, called the game a “barn burner” in the fourth quarter despite Cleveland’s 12-point lead – a prescient observation as the Hornets eventually cut the lead to just four points.
For the Cavaliers to truly establish themselves as a defense-first team – the identity they’ve been searching for all season – they’ll need to demonstrate this level of defensive effort consistently. One night of holding an opponent under 90 points doesn’t erase half a season of middling defensive metrics.
“Oklahoma City does it most of the time. The Cavs do it every now and then. The Detroit Pistons do it most of the time. The Cavs do it every now and then,” Fedor said, comparing Cleveland to genuine defense-first teams. “You can’t be a defense first team and be middle of the pack in defense. And if you are a defense first team and you’re middle of pack in defense, you’re not going to be very good.”
As the Cavs prepare for upcoming matchups against the Sacramento Kings and Orlando Magic, the question remains: was this defensive performance against Charlotte a blueprint for future success, or just another mirage in a season full of inconsistency? The answer will likely determine whether Cleveland can make any noise in an increasingly competitive Eastern Conference playoff race.
Here’s the podcast for this week: