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Can the Raptors turn a 50-win pace into their first-ever 60-win season?

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How many wins the Raptors will post is a question only time will tell, but there's no question they're playing well and only getting better.

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Published Jan 27, 2026 • 4 minute read

Scottie Barnes of the Toronto Raptors shoots over Trayce Jackson-Davis of the Golden State Warriors during a game earlier this month.

Scottie Barnes of the Toronto Raptors shoots over Trayce Jackson-Davis of the Golden State Warriors during a game earlier this month. Getty Images

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A 50-win season is well within range, a potential run of post-season appearances no longer a pipe dream, but the biggest question involves the biggest NBA prize — winning a championship.

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Good times and good vibes, not unexpectedly, hover over the franchise as it plays its first home game Wednesday night since a 4-1 trip out West, which was capped off by a victory over the reigning champions.

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One can argue expectations may have risen beyond the definition of reasonable but, in this business, teams are either selling hope or wins.

One can make a case that the Raptors are checking both boxes.

A litmus test will be provided by the Knicks on Wednesday night, who come to town having played host to Sacramento on Tuesday. This is a Knicks team whose physical and mental toughness has proven too daunting for the Raptors to handle in their past two meetings this season.

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Some long-awaited exposure down south arrives later in the week when the Raptors are in Orlando.

Then comes a five-game homestand that will end with a visit by Detroit, one of the league’s surprise teams and one of its best feel-good stories — which ultimately will be judged by its post-season success or failure.

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As of Tuesday, only Boston — which, similar to the Knicks, has beaten the Raptors twice — and the Pistons have better records than Toronto.

Matching last year’s 30-win total is a no-brainer given the Raptors already have won 29 games.

Elite teams often hit the 60-win mark, a description that cannot be applied to this edition.

During a five-year run, Dwane Casey helped establish an identity and foundation. Then Nick Nurse took over and helped take the Raptors over the top, with the franchise winning 50+ games, including a club-high 59 in what turned out to be Casey’s final season as head coach.

Crowning Achievement

Winning the title in 2019 was the ultimate crowning achievement as the Raptors made the playoffs for seven successive seasons. The Raptors haven’t qualified for the post-season since Scottie Barnes’ rookie season.

He was seen at WWE’s Monday Night Raw event with a championship belt emblazoned with the Raptors’ logo — a harbinger of things to come? We seriously doubt it.

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The goal, however remains the same as long as Barnes is happy to be in Toronto and that is to surround him with as many quality pieces as possible.

History has shown that players, once they get their money, are motivated by winning. Winning always matters, but winning a title is what matters most.

No one is suggesting Barnes will pull a Chris Bosh and bolt, but time can be fleeting.

For now, the Raptors are rolling. Barnes’ play, especially on defence where he’s more advanced than on offence, is at its peak powers with more room to grow because of that offensive room for improvement.

Immanuel Quickley posted one of his best stretches as a Raptor, perhaps of his career, during the trip that earned him Eastern Conference player of the week.

When a team wins its final four games of a trip and when such gaudy numbers — 25.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.0 steals per game — are posted, individual recognition is more than deserving.

I.Q. needs to stay healthy, which he hasn’t achieved during his brief time in Toronto, and he needs to sustain a high level of play or as close to a high level as possible.

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Home on a high

There’s no doubt the Raptors return home on a high. No question they’ve been playing well as a team, showing resilience and perseverance that make up the DNA of a champion.

At the same time, no ring fitting will be on the horizon.

There’s plenty of work that lies ahead, but every once in a while some kind of affirmation is demanded and the Raptors have earned it.

Knowing that so much can change and likely will change, knowing the Raptors will have that proverbial X on their back as opponents must respect them, additional improvement is in order.

Having a healthy Jakob Poeltl will make the Feb. 5 trade deadline less important considering size is one of Toronto’s needs, arguably its biggest.

Suddenly, the big man has turned into a wild card, an ongoing uncertainty until an update on the health of his back is reached — if that’s even possible.

After becoming extension eligible on Oct. 1, the Raptors and RJ Barrett could not agree on a new contract before the deadline.

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Neither side has expressed any ill will or said anything in public to suggest Barrett’s time is coming to an end, but the business of basketball can turn the best intentions into unpleasant outcomes.

How does the Raptors future look?

Brandon Ingram has come as advertised, but until he plays an entire season, the health concerns won’t disappear.

To date, he has appeared in 46 games, averaging 34.1 minutes — tied for the fourth highest in his 10-year career.

During his career, Ingram has played at least 60 games four times, his most occurring in his rookie campaign in 2016-17 when he appeared in 79 games.

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[Scottie Barnes of the Toronto Raptors goes up for a lay-up against the Sacramento Kings during the first quarter at Golden 1 Center on Jan. 21, 2026 in Sacramento, Calif.

Raptors can take big step toward relevancy by ending trip with win over reigning-champion OKC](https://torontosun.com/sports/basketball/nba/toronto-raptors/raptors-can-end-monumental-trip-with-a-win-over-okc-thunder)

2. [Toronto Raptors forward Sandro Mamukelashvili dunks against the Portland Trail Blazers during the second half of an NBA basketball game Friday, Jan. 23, 2026, in Portland, Ore.

Streaking Raptors beat Portland Trail Blazers to earn third straight road win](https://torontosun.com/sports/basketball/nba/toronto-raptors/streaking-raptors-beat-portland-trail-blazers-to-earn-third-straight-road-win)

Ingram has provided the Raptors with their biggest boost, a presence no metric can properly define.

The Raptors’ future does look promising.

It would be a mistake to compare them to past iterations, but encouraging signs have emerged.

Clearly, the biggest lift is to follow.

What remains to be seen is how this group handles the pressure of big games, beginning Wednesday, and how this group fares when the regular season ramps up.

fzicarelli@postmedia.com

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