Opposing teams are split on whether the Bucks actually intend to trade Giannis Antetokounmpo ahead of the February 5 deadline. According to Marc Stein and Jake Fischer of The Stein Line (Substack link), some teams in touch with Milwaukee have gotten the impression the Bucks prefer to wait until the offseason, when more suitors could arise.
However, Sam Amick of The Athletic hears other clubs think the Bucks are more likely to move the superstar forward in the next five days, pointing to the “human factor” as a reason why it could make sense for both sides to part ways sooner rather than later. Keeping Antetokounmpo on the roster into the offseason would create an “uncomfortable” and “unhealthy dynamic,” since everyone on the team knows the partnership seems inevitable to end, Amick writes.
Although Giannis never made a public request, teams in pursuit of the perennial MVP candidate “strongly” believe his preference is to be traded in the next five days, per Stein and Fischer.
Amick, John Hollinger, Eric Nehm and Nick Friedell of The Athletic weigh the various potential outcomes of Antetokounmpo being on the trade block. As Hollinger observes, Giannis and teams interested in acquiring him stand to benefit most by a deadline deal, while Nehm points out that Milwaukee would likely be better positioned to maximize its return in the offseason.
As Friedell writes, Antetokounmpo’s preferred list of destinations is unknown, and that could have a significant impact on discussions as well, since he only has one guaranteed year left on his contract beyond 2025/26.
The Warriors — one of the four teams rumored to in strong pursuit of Antetokounmpo — have been repeatedly mentioned as a possible landing spot, since they can send all four of their own first-round picks to the Bucks right now (it’s debatable how valuable some of those picks would be, Amick notes). They also have fairly straightforward ways to match salaries.
Sources tell Monte Poole of NBC Sports Bay Area that Stephen Curry is the only Warrior who is off-limits in talks for Antetokounmpo, and Anthony Slater of ESPN has heard the same.
While Jimmy Butler, who is out for the year with a torn ACL in his right knee, has been mentioned as a possible salary-matching piece, Stein and Fischer have received “strong indications” that Golden State’s offer for Antetokounmpo is unlikely to include Butler. Both players are on maximum-salary contracts and make $54.1MM this season.
As Stein and Fischer write, if Butler isn’t included, Draymond Green ($25.8MM) may have to be part of the deal for matching purposes. The former Defensive Player of the Year addressed that possibility after Friday’s loss to Detroit, per Slater.
“I’ve been here for 14 years,” Green said. “I have no reason to sit and worry about leaving. But if I’m traded, that’s part of the business. I ain’t losing no sleep, though. I slept great last night.”