Arsenal remain six points clear of Manchester City at the top of the Premier League standings but how do their final 13 fixtures compare?
Ryan Taylor
12:37, 09 Feb 2026Updated 12:37, 09 Feb 2026
Mikel Arteta and Pep Guardiola
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Arsenal and Man City are going head to head for the Premier League title
Anyone that plays Fantasy Premier League should be aware of the Fixture Difficulty Rating tool, a complex algorithm designed to grade the difficulty of all 20 top-flight teams' matches.
It's processed by a number of different Opta variables alongside each side's home and away form over the course of the past six matches, respectively.
It's reviewed on a weekly basis but football.london has worked through each of Arsenal and Manchester City's final 13 games to gauge who has statistically the easier run-in.
Fixtures are ranked from one to five in difficulty - one is deemed a virtually nailed-on victory while a five indicates chances of victory are somewhat minimal.
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The tool actually indicates Arsenal have slightly easier fixtures than City, though it must also be noted that the Gunners do travel to the Etihad Stadium to lock horns with their rivals on April 18.
So starting with Arsenal, their total fixture difficulty rating is 35 with an average difficulty rating of 2.69 per match. The trip to Brentford on Thursday is graded a three while the trip to Wolves is graded a two.
Tottenham away is graded a three also despite Arsenal's recent success in N17 while Chelsea at home is also graded a three.
Brighton away is a three, Everton at home is a two while Bournemouth at home is also a three due to the Cherries' improved form.
Man City away is a four, Newcastle at home is a three while Fulham at home is a two and graded one of their most-winnable remaining fixtures.
Heading into the closing stages of the campaign, West Ham away is graded a two, Burnley at home is rated as a two also - some might argue that's as easy as it gets, so it should be a one - while Crystal Palace away on the final day is graded a three.
Mikel Arteta
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Arsenal are currently top of the Premier League
Moving onto City's fixtures, their total fixture difficulty ranking is 37 with an average difficulty rating of 2.84 per match.
Fulham at home on Wednesday is graded a two, Newcastle at home is a three and so too is Leeds away.
Nottingham Forest at home is a two, West Ham away is a two and Crystal Palace at home - which needs to be rescheduled due to the Carabao Cup final - is a three.
Chelsea away is a three also while Arsenal at home is graded a four. Burnley away is a two, Everton away is a three, Brentford at home is a three, Bournemouth away is a four while Aston Villa at home on the final day is a three.
Mikel Arteta and Pep Guardiola will argue that these numbers count for precious nothing but it's an interesting indicator of what lies ahead for both teams. On a separate note, eight of Arsenal's final 10 matches will take place in London, minimising travel.
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