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2026 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Baylor QB Sawyer Robertson

From now until the 2026 NFL Draft, we will scout and create profiles for as many prospects as possible, examining their strengths, weaknesses, and what they can bring to an NFL franchise. These players could be potential top-10 picks, all the way to Day 3 selections, and priority undrafted free agents. Today, a scouting report on Baylor QB Sawyer Robertson.

No. 13 Saywer Robertson/QB Baylor 6035/221 (Fifth-year Senior)

Measurements

Player Ht/Wt Hand Size Arm Length Wingspan

Sawyer Robertson 6035/221 N/A N/A N/A

40-Yard Dash 10-Yard Dash Short Shuttle 3-Cone

N/A N/A N/A N/A

Broad Jump Vertical Bench Press

N/A N/A N/A

The Good

– Prototypical size that lets him see over the line and absorb contact

– Live arm capable of making every throw

– High muzzle velocity that can throw 55+ yards on a line

– Functional speed that can make plays out of structure

– Throws with his hips, which generates more zip on the ball

– Quick release made him effective on RPOs

– Has the accuracy to beat man coverage

– Willing to stand in the pocket as it collapses

– Good rhythm passer who can operate the quick-intermediate game

The Bad

– Has a wide kick that leads to an overly open stance and misaligns with the target

– Throws with a lower release point under pressure, which makes it difficult for him to layer passes

– Struggles to layer the ball on vertical routes

– Played in a simplistic offense that didn’t require him to work through progressions

– Displayed “tunnel vision” with predetermined reads

– Showed jitters under consistent pressure and would throw off his back foot

– Struggles to identify open areas in zone coverage and forces throws

– Lacks anticipation

Stats

– 2025 Stats: 60.3% completion percentage, 3681 passing yards, 31 passing tds, 12 interceptions, 12.1 yards per completion, 17 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns, 12 games played

– Career Stats: 60.5% completion percentage, 7639 passing yards, 61 passing tds, 25 interceptions, 12.6 yards per completion, 316 rushing yards, 8 rushing touchdowns

– Baylor Career Stats: 60.6% completion percentage, 7616 passing yards, 61 passing tds, 24 interceptions, 12.7 yards per completion, 316 rushing yards, 8 rushing touchdowns, 30 games played

– Mississippi State Career Stats: 54.5% completion percentage, 23 passing yards, 1 interception, 3.8 yards per completion, 5 games played

– Played in 35 career games

Injury History

– Endured a shoulder injury during his sophomore year of high school that required surgery and forced him to miss the entirety of his baseball season

– Dealt with a high ankle sprain during his first year starting at Baylor (2023)

– Suffered a foot injury against TCU that caused him to be in a walking boot, but he did not miss any time (2024)

Background

– Born on February 1, 2003 ( 23 years old)

– Four-star prospect out of Coronado High School, where he also lettered in baseball

– Totaled 147 touchdowns with 11,302 yards in his high school career

– Accumulated 4,509 passing yards with 63 total scores during his senior season

– Gatorade Player of the Year

– 4.67 GPA (top 5% in his class)and National Honor Society Member

– Transferred from Mississippi State after the passing of Mike Leach, who recruited him (2022)

– Finished as a dark horse mention for the Heisman trophy (2024)

– Second team All-Big 12 (2025)

– Big 12 Scholar Athlete of the Year and finalist for the Campbell trophy (top scholar athlete) after maintaining 3.73 GPA

– Uses his time as a backup and initial struggles to stay humble through success

– Enjoys fishing in his free time

– Favorite Mexican food in Lubbock is Mama and Josie’s Kitchen

– Loves Star Wars and superhero comics and hates scary movies

Tape Breakdown

Robertson is a very toolsy but raw prospect. His arm is capable of making any throw on the field with a high level of velocity. When his mechanics are in sync, Robertson’s accuracy is top-notch, squeezing throws into non-existent windows.

His release supports these risks. Heralding a baseball background, he’s got a whip of release that stays high and tight when he isn’t pressured.

Below are examples of him showing pinpoint accuracy when he is kept clean and able to get his feet under him:

Mechanically, his footwork is inconsistent. There is a tendency to extend his stance during his throwing motion, which can cause throws to sail on him. Most of these occurrences happen after he gets hit, and he speeds up his process.

Another fault of his game is his tendency to lock onto his primary read. Baylor runs a simple offense that doesn’t ask the quarterback to do anything complicated when working through progressions. While Robertson has the arm to make many of these throws work (primarily against man), his “see it, throw it” mentality gets him into trouble.

There will be a steep learning curve for him in the NFL to reprogram his brain to move beyond the first read.

Although he is inconsistent in his mechanics, it’s fixable. Robertson is one of the more talented quarterbacks in this draft class based on arm talent and athleticism. Despite his bigger frame, he can move.

He’s not a speed burner, but he possesses more than enough wiggle to keep a defense honest. His size also allows the option for quarterback-designed runs in short-yardage situations.

Conclusion

Robertson has the potential to be the quarterback that many wonder how he fell so far in the draft. He has NFL starting-caliber traits, but much of his game has been limited by the Baylor offense’s simplification. With the right coaching, he has the potential to become a starter after a couple of years of sitting and learning.

His arm talent is uncoachable. Arguably the best arm in this draft class, he can zip the ball to any area of the field. When his mechanics are aligned, he has enough touch to layer it over the defense, but he needs to find consistency in his footwork. There is also an athletic upside with him, as he has enough functional ability to escape a collapsing pocket and execute designed runs.

The biggest hurdle that Robertson will need to overcome is the mental aspect of the position. Entering college under Mike Leach and playing at Baylor, he never had to consistently work through progressions. A comparison of Robertson as a prospect would be Davis Mills. Although Robertson has more athletic upside than Mills, they both share similar statures and have the ability to make any required throw on the field. Mills has made strides in his mental development, a necessary growth that Robertson must undergo as well.

In the ideal situation, Robertson is drafted by a team with an established starter, where he can sit and learn for a couple of years. As a floor, he will serve as a solid backup who can start in a pinch, but his talent warrants consideration as a future starter.

NFL Draft Projection: Early – Mid Day 3

Steelers Depot Draft Grade: 7.4 (Spot Starter)

Grade Range: 7.1 – 7.9

Games Watched: vs. BYU (2024), vs. Kansas (2024), vs. Auburn (2025), vs. Arizona State (2025), vs. Kansas State (2025), @ TCU (2025), @ Cincinnati (2025)

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