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Arsenal title bid: Predicted final table and how their run-in compares to Man City

Arsenal passed another big test over the weekendplaceholder image

Arsenal passed another big test over the weekend | AFP via Getty Images

A look at the Premier League title picture and where Arsenal stand after a win over Chelsea.

Mikel Arteta’s men picked up all three points, though, and now it’s on to a mid-week round of fixtures to see if there is any chance in the title picture. Here we take a look at the title picture as it stands, including the latest predicted table.

The current table

Here is the current Premier League table, as of Thursday, February 19.

1st - Arsenal - 64pts // 36GD (Played one more game)

2nd - Man City - 59pts // 32GD

Predicted final Premier League table

The Opta predicted Premier League table, which uses many simulations to produce an average final table, looks like this:

1st - Arsenal - 82.69pts // Title-winning probability: 83.26%

2nd - Man City - 77.31pts // Title-winning probability: 16.62%

Run-ins compared

Brighton (A), Everton (H), AFC Bournemouth (H), Man City (A), Newcastle United (H), Fulham (H), West Ham (A), Burnley (H), Crystal Palace (A).

Nottingham Forest (H), West Ham (A), Crystal Palace (H - Date TBC), Chelsea (A), Arsenal (H), Burnley (A), Everton (A), Brentford (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Aston Villa (H).

Arsenal’s run-in analysed

Arsenal now enter a tough run of games that started with that big win over Chelsea. Brighton, Everton, Bournemouth, Man City, Newcastle and Fulham is a real gauntlet. But the positive is that if the Gunners come through those games unscathed, and having not lost the City game, in particular, they will likely have the Premier League title either wrapped up or close to it ahead of a final three games that look very winnable in West Ham, Burnley and Palace.

City have a slightly easier run-in on paper, and their next few games are winnable, depending on when the Palace game is scheduled for. Chelsea and Arsenal back-to-back will be tricky, then you look as the last four as being a tough end to the season, between Everton, Brentford, Bournemouth and Villa, but as always, there is a chance some of those teams have very little to play for, which could change things.

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