The modern game has never been more popular and the Premier League has never been so lucrative yet there is a rising level of disenchantment with top-level football.
In England, over the past decade success and silverware have been consolidated into the hands of a handful of teams. The cost of watching football continues to rise, with fans feeling increasingly that their loyalty is being exploited by the squeeze put on them by the clubs they support and, perhaps for the first time since the explosion in the domestic game’s popularity in the early 1990s, physical attendances (ie the number of bodies through the turnstiles as opposed to tickets sold) could start to decline.
Add in inconvenient kick-off times and short-notice rescheduling of fixtures that take no account of supporters, oppressive regimes “sports washing” their crimes though the hosting of major tournaments and talk of adverts being introduced during drinks breaks at the unnecessarily expanded 48-team World Cup in North America, the working man’s game has become unrecognisable from its Victorian-era roots.
In terms of the actual match experience, be it inside the stadium or watching on television, nothing seems to be ruining the game more than Video Assistant Referees, an issue that feels as though its reaching a critical mass in terms of fan disgruntlement, complaints from managers and criticism from commentators.
As former player turned pundit, Gregor Robertson, put it in The Times on Friday:
"In the past week it was confirmed that VAR’s scope is to be widened, debate about the latest deeply contentious decisions raged more fiercely than ever, and it was perhaps even possible to detect a subtle shift from the usual state of perma-crisis to something more existential.
"In my view, VAR has greatly complicated decisions concerning handball, fouls and offside. It has multiplied the opportunities for human error. It has added new layers of subjectivity to laws of the game that were never designed to withstand the level of scrutiny imposed by frame-by-frame slow-motion replays."
The impulse for VAR’s introduction in 2019 was borne of the era of televised football that began with Sky Sports in the 1990s and the advent of super slow-motion that allowed studio pundits to pore over endless replays of controversial incidents and criticise refereeing standards in the process.
If the technology, through the implementation of an array of cameras inside stadia that could beam footage back to the Premier League’s VAR hub at Stockley Park in West London, could allow for a team of assistant referees to review incidents and come to a “correct” decision in accordance with the current football laws, perhaps the most egregious human errors could be ironed out for the good of Premier League football.
For the ordinary fan, particularly those of teams outside of the old “Sky Four” and current “Big Six” the hope was that some of the bias — conscious or otherwise — that seemed to favour the uber-wealthy, media-darling clubs might also be addressed by having more eyes on the matches and a perspective away from the heat of the action on the pitch.
Sadly, in terms of perceived bias and inconsistency, VAR has merely intensified criticism of the match officials and the “mission creep” of the video referees’ remit, aided by Professional Game Match Limited’s (PGMOL, the body that oversees officiating of matches in English football) and the way in which they assess their referees’ performance, has led to an unbearable level of intrusion and length of scrutiny of many incidents during matches.
Referees, like offside and the many other rules that have been added over the past 160-odd years, were introduced to ensure a basic level of agreed fairness and consistency to what might otherwise have been anarchy. The sport was never designed to have every potential incident forensically scrutinised in slow motion and while the modern game is faster-paced than ever before, it is also being suffocated at the top level by ever-changing rules, an obsession with trying to reach the “right” decision at every turn and, as a result, the scourge of VAR.
Subjectivity, Delay and Confusion
The problems with Video Assistant Refereeing and the way it has been implemented in Europe’s top five leagues are numerous. Whereas goal-line technology, strictly a separate innovation in that it uses the Hawkeye system and sends signals directly to the on-pitch referee as opposed to relying on video replays, has been an unquestioned success and there was a hope that semi-automated offsides might achieve a similar level of accuracy (depending on how black-and-white the parameters are), many of the other myriad decisions that required during the average match are inherently subjective.
The situation is not helped in any way by the succession of rule changes and adaptations being handed down by the International Football Association Board (IFAB), particularly in recent years concerning handball. They have led to confusion and disagreement over, for example, what constitutes deliberate handball or what constitutes sufficient force and intent for a challenge worthy of a red card for serious foul play.
How can a system brought in to try and ensure that every decision is right according to the letter of the law when each incident is subject to the interpretation of the beholder? Not surprisingly, we’re having to live with maddening inconsistency when you would think that one incident — Michael Keane’s dismissal for hair-pulling or Jake O'Brien's disallowed goal at Aston Villa for Harrison Armstrong's supposed interference come to mind — should set the precedent to be followed the next.
Then there is the time the review processes take while supporters inside the ground have to sit or stand around waiting, often not knowing the specifics of what is being looked at. And even once the official has announced his decision over the tannoy, the attending fans have no context. The argument has been made that television companies love the drama of VAR but for a sport that is always moving and is supposed to have as few stoppages as possible, it makes for an awful spectacle even on screen.
VAR is far too forensic and far too intrusive. Matches are being re-refereed from Stockley Park with the main on-field official stripped of his ability to apply common sense or a nuanced application of the laws according to the temperature and character of the match he is over-seeing.
But the most unforgivable by-product of VAR and far and away the biggest argument for scrapping it immediately is that it has killed the simple, spontaneous joy of celebrating a goal. Unless the ball has been banged in from 30 yards — even then you don’t know if a player was potentially blocking the goalkeeper’s view from what might then be deemed an offside position — your elation at seeing you team score is immediately cut short by the dread of knowing VAR will review the footage looking for any reason to chalk it off.
PGMOL head, Howard Webb, together with another former referee responsible for the roll-out of VAR, Chris Foy, recently undertook a fact-finding mission to various parts of the country to gauge the mood among match-going fans around the state of refereeing in the Premier League.
According to the View From the Bullens Podcast they were shocked and saddened to hear from one supporter that they just don’t celebrate goals anymore. Whether that spurs a concerted to effort to scale back VAR’s reach remains to be seen but until the top flight clubs themselves drop their support for the system, it’s almost certain to remain in place.
Can VAR be fixed?
When the question of retaining VAR or scrapping it last came up for a vote, Premier League clubs voted 19-1 to keep it in place. There is widespread support for the process in the hierarchies of the member clubs, often either echoed or influenced by the managers.
Though the tide certainly seems to be turning against VAR and the calls from hardline opponents to scrap VAR for everything except the goal-line technology are growing louder, it would take a tsunami of discontent to wash it away. And the recent cup tie between Aston Villa and Newcastle where referee Chris Kavanagh and his assistants had a nightmare in the absence of backup from Stockley Park served as a strong argument for why VAR is needed.
With that in mind, could Video Assistant Refereeing be reformed or significantly scaled back and what might that look like?
Reforming Offside for Good
Few issues cause more consternation among football fans than goals being chalked off for marginal offside. Offside is an issue that has preoccupied IFAB for years and though the change to the law to “level is onside” after the 1990 World Cup was a welcome and positive one, VAR’s introduction has made the issue far more black and white than was ever intended when the original laws were drafted back in 1863.
In the obsession to come to the "correct" decision, VAR initially began measuring offside by hairs-breadth margins of lines drawn on an arbitrary video frame determined by the passing player’s first contact with the ball. The speed of modern football made that a somewhat farcical notion — at 24 frames per second, who’s to say they chose the right one? — and those fine margins were deemed by many to be overly stringent. So, in the 2020/21 season, a 5cm tolerance was introduced.
The fact that tight offside calls continue to be decried and lambasted by fans, managers and pundits alike as being contrary to the spirit of the laws shows that that 5cm tolerance is still far too small. One solution would be to widen the tolerance significantly by padding the initial 1cm lines drawn against the defender and the attacker to 20cm and mandating that if there is any "daylight" between the two lines, it is offside; any overlap and it's onside.
In this example from 2021/22, VAR determined that the Arsenal attacker (in red) was offside because his toe was fractionally beyond the Fulham defender's own foot. With a wider tolerance, the two lines overlap and he would, rightly, have been deemed to be onside
Rather than widen the tolerance however, FIFA will soon begin trials in Canada of the so-called “Wenger Rule” which proposes that a player is onside if any part of their body is in line with the last defender.
While this may sound fine in theory, it would have serious ramifications for the art of defending and might sweep away overnight the deployment of the offside trap as a tactic. In certain circumstances, the distance between one defender’s foot and an attacker’s front foot could be as much as six feet.
In this image from Sky Sports, Harry Kane (in white) is offside by any sensible interpretation of the rules but the overlap between his trailing foot and the defender’s would keep him onside under the Wenger Rule.
Far better would be to restrict the active zonefor offside to the players' torsos or, perhaps, from the bottom of the shorts to the armpit and measure from there. In the following graphic from the Semi-Automated Offside system, the attacker (in red and clearly level) would be deemed to be offside under the current rules due to the position of his knee. However, With only torsos measured and with a generous 20cm tolerance, this would be an onside decision and, again, very much within the spirit of the laws.
Hand Power Back to the On-pitch Officials
If it feels very much as though the tail in Stockley Park is now wagging the dog inside the stadium, one welcome move would be to significantly raise the bar for what requires intervention by the Video Assistant Referee. This was promised by Webb but, if anything, VAR feels more intrusive, fussy and inconsistent than ever; as if only the people forensically analysing replays in a booth could possibly reach the right conclusions.
As one observer put it this past weekend, VAR was only supposed to be needed for the moments that made you say, "Crikey, that's a poor decision!" In other words, clear and very obvious errors. The most extreme examples would, of course, be Maradona's "hand of God" goal in the 1986 World Cup or Thierry Henry's handball against the Republic of Ireland, both hugely significant incidents in the context of the matches in which they occurred and which would have been caught by video replays had they been available to the officials at the time.
[Referees] are totally and utterly confused. They're wrecked. VAR has done them in — confidence-wise and belief-wise. The damage that VAR has done to referees is absolutely incredible — Alan Shearer, The Rest Is Football podcast
More recently, referee Kavanagh missing the fact that during the afore-mentioned cup tie, Lucas Digne had handled the ball a yard inside Newcastle's penalty area and not outside the box would be another egregious oversight that would certainly have been corrected by VAR.
Of course, just because VAR is there, doesn't mean that the right decision will be reached. In the incident involving Rodri at Goodison Park in March 2022 where the ball visibly hit his arm below the sleeve but neither the referee nor the VAR saw fit to award Everton a penalty, the argument for the existence of VAR felt hollow. By the same token, in the clash between Manchester United and Crystal Palace the weekend before last, not only did VAR, Tony Harrington, not reverse the award by Kavanagh — yes, him again — of a penalty despite a clear dive by Mateus Cunha, he doubled down by recommending that Maxence Lacroix be sent off for denial of a goalscoring opportunity as well.
But restoring the responsibility for all bar the most obviously controversial incidents to the primary match official on the day and mandating that VAR reviews can only be instigated by the referee would reduce the growing distrust in the decrees coming from Stockley Park. It might also lessen the reliance on super slow-motion replays which, particularly where the interpretation of "serious foul play" is concerned, can warp the perception of the intent and severity of a particular tackle.
Furthermore, a review by PGMOL of their grading system of referees to encourage common sense application of the law and to not penalise officials for going against the VAR's recommendation regarding a given incient would be a another hugely welcome development.
More Radical Suggestions
In addition to the trials of the Wenger Rule and the possible introduction of 60-second time limits for VAR reviews, FIFA may yet experiment with the suggestion that, like in tennis and, to a degree, the NFL and baseball, head coaches be given a set number of challenges per match that would trigger a video review. That obviously leaves open the opportunity for controversy in a particularly contentious match where a given manager has used his two challenges only for an obviously incorrect decision to crop up late in the game that would then go uncorrected.
In that instance, like in American Football, a booth review could be initiated by the VAR but the bar would have to be set very high for such an intervention.
Then there is the idea of adding two more assistant referees to the touchline, one for each quadrant the pitch, to cover more of the primary referee's blindspots and put more eyes on the action to spot infringements and infractions.
Is it worth it?
When supporters of clubs threatened by relegation (particularly those who only recently came up from the Championship) find solace in the prospect of a season free of the scourge of VAR, you know you have a problem. Likewise, if those, like Wrexham, who might yet find themselves in the top flight next season are already bracing themselves for the misery of aborted goal celebrations and endless controversy having got their first experience of it in the FA Cup.
That hankering for just being able to erupt in joy at a goal following a cursory glance towards the linesman in case of an offside flag is enough to make you want to simply throw VAR in the bin and go back to the way it was. Human error was the initial justification for VAR but it feels as though rather than clarify the decision-making aspect of top-flight refereeing we have merely layered on more subjectivity and confusion to what is already a fiendishly difficult job and one that is impossible to get right all of the time.
Fans are starting to voice their displeasure. Last month, Augsburg supporters filled their stand with anti-VAR banners, including one that said: “Football with VAR is like horseracing with donkeys”. In a Bundesliga 2 match between Munster and Hertha Berlin just this weekend, supporters held up a sign reading “Pull the plug on VAR” and two home fans did just that, jumping out of the stands with one of them disconnecting a VAR cable.
After a problem with semi-automated offside during Barcelona’s Copa del Rey match against Atletico Madrid last month prompted an eight-minute review before Pau Cubarsí's goal was chalked off for what Gregor Robertson described in the article linked above as "the kind of absurd offside decision that did not exist pre-VAR," Hansi Flick lamented: “For me, it’s a mess It’s so bad here.”
Borussia Dortmund manager, Niko Kovac, said recently: “The biggest problem is there’s no common denominator. Whoever is sitting in the [VAR] studio or whoever is refereeing has a different perception. One week you’re annoyed that something wasn’t called. The next week it’s decided differently and nobody understands the world any more.”
Would more managers, pundits and perhaps players call for VAR to be scrapped and would that clamour turn the opinion of the clubs? For now, there doesn't appear to be much chance of that.
A Premier League executive said recently that, “We have to have VAR. The game’s moved on so much, it’s played at such a high speed and tempo. It’s right that we have VAR to help the referees".
Meanwhile, Newcastle boss, echoing sentiments expressed by the likes of former Burnley, Everton and Nottingham Forest boss, Sean Dyche, in saying: “I’m so torn because the game is better without VAR, in terms of excitement and the spectacle for the supporters and us when we’re living a moment live. But it does give accurate results. It does make the game more precise in terms of decision-making. You have to respect those moments. They’re worth their weight in gold.”
What's worth even more valuable, though, is the unmatched feeling of your team scoring a last-minute winner free of the nagging fear that that priceless goal might get taken away after some official has pored over the previous 30 seconds of footage looking for an infringement.
Until that prospect of reflex, forensic review is removed and fans can feel confident that if the on-pitch ref hasn't seen anything significant, a goal will probably stand, the trade-offs for aiming to reach the "right" decisions with VAR just aren't worth it.
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