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Who is the favourite to win the Carabao Cup final, Arsenal or Man City?

The 2026 Carabao Cup final takes place this Sunday and it's the most hotly anticipated in years with Arsenal and Man City meeting at Wembley.

The Gunners currently sit nine points clear of City at the top of the Premier League having played a game more, and are on course for a first title in 22 years.

A first trophy in six years for Mikel Arteta would be a major psychological boost in that quest as well in their bid for an unprecedented quadruple.

The same can be said for Pep Guardiola who will hope that picking up his fifth Carabao Cup can lift his ailing side and put doubt in the mind of his former assistant's side.

With so much at stake, just who is the favourite to lift the first trophy of the season? Sky Bet are marking the final with a huge new customer offer — 50/1 for a goal to be scored at Wembley!

Carabao Cup Final Odds: Who is the favourite?

Arsenal are relatively strong favourites to win the 2026 Carabao Cup at odds of 7/5 to do so over 90 minutes and 4/5 in either extra time or on penalties. City are 23/10 to win in normal time and 6/5 to lift the trophy! Check out the latest odds at the time of writing:

You can follow the betting odds live with The Sporting News.

Arsenal vs. Man City Head-to-Head

This will be the 204th meeting between the two clubs with Arsenal having 97 wins to City's 58.

City have been dominant in the Carabao Cup specifically, winning the last four meetings including a 3-0 victory in the 2018 final.

Mikel Arteta is unbeaten in his last six games against Guardiola but has just three wins from 16 overall.

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Who won the 2025 Carabao Cup?

Newcastle won the Carabao Cup last year by beating Liverpool 2-1 at Wembley, ending a 70-year wait for a domestic trophy for Magpies.

Local lad Dan Burn gave them the lead before now-Reds' striker Alexander Isak put the Geordies in dreamland early into the second half.

Federico Chiesa came off the bench to pull one back late on but Eddie Howe's side held out for a deserved victory.

Carabao Cup Winners Year by Year

Year Winner

1961 Aston Villa

1962 Norwich

1963 Birmingham City

1964 Leicester City

1965 Chelsea

1966 West Brom

1967 QPR

1968 Leeds United

1969 Swindon Town

1970 Manchester City

1971 Tottenham

1972 Stoke City

1973 Tottenham

1974 Wolves

1975 Aston Villa

1976 Manchester City

1977 Aston Villa

1978 Nottingham Forest

1979 Nottingham Forest

1980 Wolves

1981 Liverpool

1982 Liverpool

1983 Liverpool

1984 Liverpool

1985 Norwich City

1986 Oxford United

1987 Arsenal

1988 Luton Town

1989 Nottingham Forest

1990 Nottingham Forest

1991 Sheffield Wednesday

1992 Manchester United

1993 Arsenal

1994 Aston Villa

1995 Liverpool

1996 Aston Villa

1997 Leicester City

1998 Chelsea

1999 Tottenham

2000 Leicester City

2001 Liverpool

2002 Blackburn Rovers

2003 Liverpool

2004 Middlesbrough

2005 Chelsea

2006 Manchester United

2007 Chelsea

2008 Tottenham Hotspur

2009 Manchester United

2010 Manchester United

2011 Birmingham City

2012 Liverpool

2013 Swansea

2014 Manchester City

2015 Chelsea

2016 Manchester City

2017 Manchester United

2018 Manchester City

2019 Manchester City

2020 Manchester City

2021 Manchester City

2022 Liverpool

2023 Manchester United

2024 Liverpool

2025 Newcastle United

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