> Bain might be a bit of a surprise here, but the pick tracks philosophically. Mike Borgonzi comes from the Chiefs’ BPA model and has a history of using premium picks (top 10-15) on premium positions (QB, edge, OT, CB). While RB Jeremiyah Love is tempting, recent history doesn’t support spending top-10 capital on backs. Why? Because there isn’t a top-10 RB pick in the past decade who has played in a Super Bowl with the team that drafted him (from Jeanty to Bijan to Saquon to Fournette to CMC to Zeke).
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> The other surprise here is Bain over David Bailey, and it comes down to fit. With Jermaine Johnson in place as the wide-9 rusher, HC Robert Saleh is looking for a nasty tone setter up front. Bain provides that physical edge setting with pass rush disruption. If Borgonzi and Saleh can look past the short arms, Bain feels like a perfect fit.