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NFL Expert: Why Ty Simpson Might Fail in the Pros

Ty Simpson has emerged as one of the more talked-about quarterback prospects ahead of the 2026 NFL Draft. While his physical tools and pedigree draw attention, evaluators continue to examine areas that could impact his transition to the professional level.

Simpson has shown flashes of potential with his arm strength and ability to operate within structured offensive systems. His background in a high-level program has also provided him with experience in competitive environments.

NFL, Ty Simpson

Feb 28, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson (QB17) during the NFL Scouting Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Despite those strengths, a key concern centers on the limited number of NFL-caliber throws he has been asked to make. Questions remain about how his skill set will translate when required to consistently execute more complex passing concepts.

The transition to the NFL often demands quicker processing and the ability to read defenses at a higher level. Quarterbacks who have not regularly made advanced throws can face challenges adapting to tighter windows and faster decision-making.

NFL Expert Explains Why Ty Simpson Might Fail in the Pros

NFL, Ty Simpson

Feb 28, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson (QB17) during the NFL Scouting Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

There is a chance Simpson might fail if he becomes a pro in the league. This is detailed more in an analysis by Bill Connelly for ESPN.

Why he might fail: Minimal NFL throws. Despite the fact that he was a fourth-year junior in 2025, he hasn’t had as many reps as most of the players on this list. In the past two seasons, he attempted only 562 dropbacks (67th out of 83) and only 142 against man coverage. (He averaged only 6.3 yards per dropback against man, which ranked 59th.) And though he almost never turned the ball over, he was taking the easy way out most of the time: He ranked just 54th in yards per completion (11.7) and 55th in yards per dropback (6.6), and he threw only 12.7% of his passes 20-plus yards downfield (54th).

Plus, though the film certainly suggests good pocket technique, Simpson still ranked 44th in sack rate (5.5%) — despite being protected by likely top-15 pick Kadyn Proctor at left tackle — and 48th in sacks-to-pressures ratio (17.2%). There’s a chance we’re overrating that facet of his game, and if he gets hit a lot while never attempting big-time throws downfield, where exactly is the upside here?

Simpson’s development will likely depend on how quickly he can expand his passing repertoire and adjust to the speed of the pro game. Teams will be looking for signs that he can handle a broader range of responsibilities within an offense.

As the draft approaches, Simpson’s potential remains evident, but so do the questions surrounding his readiness. How he addresses these concerns could ultimately shape his trajectory at the next level.

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