Bucs GM Jason Licht.
The term “implied probability” may as well, for Joe, be called “throw [it] against the wall and see if it sticks.”
The Twitter account of someone who goes by the handle of “@fb_insights” usually has some pretty good statistical insights into football. In this instance, it has both good and bad.
Joe has no idea who the person is behind this Twitter account, and Joe has no idea where he (she?) got this data or if he (she?) put it together all alone. It has some obvious intel on the Bucs’ draft targets at No. 15 and some asinine analysis.
For example, the highest chance of the Bucs picking at No. 15 is either defensive line or edge rush. Joe has already detailed how the Bucs’ defensive line is thinner than you may think.
Edge rush? That’s obvious.
The No. 2 position is tight end. A lot of Bucs fans get angry when this is mentioned, but the Bucs are a field-stretching tight end away from potentially having a dominant offense. That’s the only weak link on the offense.
And here comes the asinine. The Bucs’ No. 3 position to draft would be, per @fb_insights, offensive line.
Pardon Joe while he wipes the tears from his eyes laughing.
Unless there’s a blockbuster trade, the Bucs are not drafting any offensive lineman at No. 15. @fb_insights admitted he/she reads the PFF tribe and only the PFF tribe would try to make a sober argument the Bucs may draft an offensive lineman at No. 15.
(And this is also why NFL general managers howl in both laughter and outrage at the PFF tribe’s dumb@ss offensive line grades.)
Where would this offensive lineman play? Are the Bucs going to bench Tristan Wirfs? Are the Bucs going to bench Luke Goedeke, who just signed a big contract last year? Are the Bucs going to bench Cody Mauch? Are the Bucs going to bench Ben Bredeson, who is in the middle of a newish three-year contract? Are the Bucs going to bench Graham Barton?
The answer to all five questions is “Hell, no!”
Don’t believe Joe? Just go back to when Bucs AC/DC-loving general manager Jason Licht said from the combine that the Bucs’ offensive line is the strongest position group on the team. He said it twice, both for #NFLMedia as a whole, and on the “Ira Kaufman Podcast.”
Now Joe can easily see Bucs AC/DC-loving general manager Jason Licht drafted a guard on the third day of the draft. The Bucs backup guards were trash last year.
Yes, Joe knows the Bucs re-signed Dan Feeney. Doesn’t mean he will make the 53-man roster come September.
Market implied probabilities of the first position that teams could draft in April pic.twitter.com/oIUUF0USrn
— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) March 31, 2026