The Pittsburgh Steelers are favorites in just seven games after the 2026 NFL Schedule was released. Via odds released by DraftKings, the Steelers are favored to beat the Atlanta Falcons, the Cleveland Browns twice, the Indianapolis Colts, New Orleans Saints, Carolina Panthers and Tennessee Titans.
Week 1 – vs Falcons: Steelers favored by 3
Week 2 – at Patriots: Patriots favored by 4.5
Week 3 – vs Bengals: Bengals favored by 1.5
Week 4 – at Browns: Steelers favored by 2.5
Week 5 – vs. Colts: Steelers favored by 2.5
Week 6 – at Buccaneers: Buccaneers favored by 1.5
Week 7 – at Saints (Paris, France): Steelers favored by 2.5
Week 8 – vs Browns: Steelers favored by 5.5
Week 9 – BYE
Week 10 – at Bengals: Bengals favored by 3.5
Week 11 – at Eagles: Eagles favored by 5.5
Week 12 – vs Broncos (Black Friday, Nov. 27): Broncos favored by 1.5
Week 13 – vs Texans: Texans favored by 1.5
Week 14 – at Jaguars: Jaguars favored by 3
Week 15 – vs Ravens: Ravens favored by 2.5
Week 16 – vs Panthers: Steelers favored by 3.5
Week 17 – at Titans: Steelers favored by 1.5
Week 18 – at Ravens: Ravens favored by 5.5
Despite only being favored in seven games, the Steelers have a win total over/under of 8.5 on DraftKings. For that total to go over, the Steelers would need to win two games that they’re currently underdogs in.
Of course, given that we’re still four months away from the start of the season, plenty can change when it comes to lines. Injuries, roster movement and performance can all change the lines when we actually approach the season and approach each game. Right now, the odds are basically a rough baseline for what Vegas expects each team to look like and how they expect them to perform.
Given that, it’s fairly notable to me how high the books seem to be on the Bengals, favoring them in both games against the Steelers. Cincinnati does have a win total over/under of 9.5, second in the AFC North behind the Baltimore Ravens at 11.5, which feels a bit high with a new regime in Baltimore.
Regardless, the odds right now aren’t totally meaningless, but it’s very likely they will change when we get closer to the season. Theoretically, now could be a good time to jump on lines that may feel mispriced early, but given the ever-changing nature of the NFL, it’s tough to bet a game four months out with so much unknown.
At the core though, the books aren’t expecting much out of the Steelers this season. Maybe an Aaron Rodgers signing flips a few lines, but the lines do look like they’re factored in for a Rodgers return to Pittsburgh. Given that the Steelers are playing a first-place schedule though, being favored in seven games isn’t a total surprise, especially with where their over/under is at. Only time will tell if they’ll be able to outperform their Vegas expectations.
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