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Premier League relegation permutations: What Tottenham and West Ham must do on final day

Roberto De Zerbi watching his Tottenham side at Chelsea

Tottenham's loss at Chelsea on Tuesday night means the battle to avoid relegation goes to the final day.

Enzo Fernandez and Andrey Santos struck either side of half time for the Blues in midweek.

Micky van de Ven and Richarlison shake hands after the Brazilian scored at Chelsea3

Richarlison's second half strike wasn't enough to inspire a comeback at Chelsea on Tuesday night

Richarlison set up a nervy finish at Stamford Bridge, halving the deficit with 15 minutes to play, but it was too little, too late for Roberto De Zerbi's men.

It means that Spurs remain two points above 18th-placed West Ham with one game to play and it's all to play for at the foot of the table.

De Zerbi's side host Everton on Sunday, while Nuno Espirito Santo's West Ham welcome Leeds.

The two teams making the trip to the capital have little to play for heading into the final round of games.

The stage is set for a tense finale to close out the 2025-25 Premier League season.

There are nine potential outcomes on Sunday, eight of which favour Spurs, so the ball is very much in their court as they look to avoid dropping out of the Premier League for the first time.

What do Tottenham need to do?

Tottenham's fate is very much in their hands.

Two points clear of the drop and with a superior goal difference, a draw should be enough for the north London side to consolidate their Premier League status.

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And the welcome of Everton is a good omen for Spurs.

Mathys Tel of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates scoring his team's first goal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United3

Mathys Tel of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates scoring his team's first goal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United

Indeed, they've won more games against the Toffees (32) in the Premier League era, and have won more home matches against Everton (21) than any other team.

The issue, though, is that Spurs are not very good at home.

They've won only two of their 18 home league matches this season - one of which was against Burnley - while no team has collected fewer points in front of their fans than Spurs (12) in England's top tier this term.

Winless in 10 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, you have to go back to a 2-0 win over Brentford in December for their last league win in north London.

Even a defeat may be enough to stave off relegation provided West Ham fail to beat Leeds at the London Stadium this weekend.

However, De Zerbi will want to see out a dreary season on a high and give supporters something to cheer about.

Tottenham will stay up if:

They win and West Ham beat Leeds

They win and West Ham draw with Leeds

They win and West Ham lose to Leeds

They draw and West Ham beat Leeds without a 12-goal swing

They draw and West Ham draw with Leeds

They draw and West Ham lose to Leeds

They lose and West Ham draw with Leeds

They lose and West Ham lose to Leeds

West Ham's equaliser against Arsenal is ruled out3

Callum Wilson's late goal against Arsenal was ruled out by VAR

What do West Ham need to do?

West Ham will feel hard done by that they sit two points off safety rather than one following the 1-0 loss to Arsenal earlier this month.

Callum Wilson's stoppage-time equaliser was chalked off for an alleged foul on David Raya, which proved a crucial moment in both the title race and the battle to beat the drop.

Even so, the Hammers put in a limp display at Newcastle last weekend, crashing to a 3-1 loss at St. James' Park that essentially resigned the east London side to their fate.

There is still glimmer of hope for West Ham, but they'll need to do something they've only done five times this season and win a league match at the London Stadium.

Two of those five wins have come against relegated pair Wolves and Burnley, and even then; victory may not be enough for West Ham.

They have won three of their last five home games against the Yorkshire side, which bodes well, though conversely; Leeds have lost just one of their last 11 away league matches, including impressive results at Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester United and Tottenham.

Either way, there is only one realistic way that West Ham remain in the Premier League at Spurs' expense.

We're unlikely to see West Ham win by 12 goals and Spurs fail to beat Everton at home, though stranger things have happened...

West Ham will stay up if:

They win and Tottenham lose to Everton

They win with a 12-goal swing and Tottenham draw with Everton

Follow the action live on talkSPORT

Both Tottenham vs Everton and West Ham vs Leeds kick off at 4pm on a bumper day of Premier League action on Sunday, May 24 with all 20 teams on show to see out the season.

Adrian Durham, Stuart Pearce, Scott Minto and Perry Groves will provide the fastest goal service on GameDay Live from 2pm Sunday.

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