July 19th, 2026
Tribal warnings.
Oh, boy. We can just hit fast-forward to February. Thanks to the PFF tribe, we already know what the Bucs will do this fall.
Mason Cameron of the PFF tribe has the Bucs at 8.5 wins for 2026. Joe isn’t shook by this. First, it’s the PFF tribe. Second, through four seasons, Bucs coach Todd Bowles is 2-2 when it comes surpassing the Vegas preseason win-total.
In 2022 and 2025, the Bucs did not live up to their hype. In 2023 and 2024, the Bucs surpassed their preseason win-total.
That also means Baker Mayfield guided the Bucs to better-than-expected records in two of his three Tampa Bay seasons.
The Bucs’ 2026 win-total currently stands at 8.5. Given how awful the NFC South landfill is, Joe would not be shocked if the Bucs beat that projected win-total — and that’s good enough to win win the NFC South.
Year — Projected Wins — (Final)
2022 — 11.5 — (8)
2023 — 6.5 — (9)
2024 — 7.5 — (10)
2025 — 9.5 — (8)