Liverpool’s exact probability of winning 2026-27 Premier League title emerges
Not even the most optimistic Liverpool fan would predict a Premier League title challenge for the 2026-27 season.
Arne Slot has been replaced by Andoni Iraola at the helm and the Spaniard has already made quite the impression so far.
It’s not to downplay Iraola’s quality, but the fact of the matter is that the Reds have a lot of deficiencies in their squad.
On the other hand, the Spaniard has only just taken charge, so he needs time to work his magic at Anfield.
And with less than two weeks to go for the Premier League season to start, Liverpool’s exact probability of winning the competition has emerged.
Liverpool given 12% chance of Premier League glory
After winning the Premier League title last season and taking PSG to penalties in the UEFA Champions League final, Arsenal head into the season as overwhelming favourites.
The Gunners have also bolstered their ranks with the addition of Bruno Guimaraes recently, who is undoubtedly one of the best midfielders in the world.
As for Manchester City, Pep Guardiola has been replaced by Enzo Maresca at the helm, who will look to carry on from where the legendary Spaniard left off.
🚨🏆 Preseason Premier League champion odds on Polymarket:
37% – Arsenal
30% – Manchester City
12% – Liverpool
12% – Manchester United pic.twitter.com/9ln1cIk9h7
— Fabrizio Romano (@FabrizioRomano) August 9, 2026
As per Polymarket, as relayed by Fabrizio Romano, Liverpool have been given a 12% chance of Premier League glory next season, which is the same as Manchester United.
We’re not sure what to make of these chances and it’s too soon to be talking about this, but honestly, a 12% probability with a new manager and a weakened squad actually seems a bit generous.
But hey, that’s just us. We can’t and don’t want to put a cap on what Liverpool can achieve this season, so we’ll reserve our judgement for a little later in the campaign when there is enough evidence to form an opinion.
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