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Ajay Gandhar
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Essential Premier League stats for this week's matches image
Gameweek 1 in the Premier League brings a stacked schedule, headlined by Newcastle's Sunday night clash with Liverpool and the champions' opener with Coventry.
Our match facts tracker below finds key stats for the next match to kick off, featuring updated odds in real time. Check them out, followed by the data points that caught our eye.
Key stats for this week’s Premier League action
Newcastle vs. Liverpool has goals written all over it on paper. The Reds have found the net at least twice in every one of their last eight meetings with Newcastle, and four of the last five have produced over 4.5 goals combined.
Even narrowed down to Liverpool's own tally away from home, they've gone over 2.5 in four of their last five visits to St James' Park, a trend that's hard to ignore heading into Sunday!
Elsewhere, the individual markets throw up plenty worth backing too. For example, Morgan Gibbs-White has registered over 1.5 shots in four of his last five appearances against Leeds, a smaller but useful signal for anyone eyeing the player props market this weekend.
Bookmaker Welcome bonus Min. odds qualifying bet Free bets expiry
Sky Bet Bet 5p Get £40 Free Bets 1/1 (2.0) 30 days
BoyleSports Bet £10 Get £40 Free Bets 1/1 (2.0) 7 days
Betfred Bet £10 Get £50 Free Bets 1/1 (2.0) 7 days
Spreadex Bet £10 Get £60 Free Bets 1/2 (1.50) 28 days
Ladbrokes Bet £5 Get £30 Free Bets 1/2 (1.50) 7 days
MORE: How to bet on the Premier League — a complete beginners’ guide
Our top data points this week
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Match Stat
Everton vs. Crystal Palace (Sat 3:00 PM) Both teams have scored in the last six Premier League meetings between the two sides.
Leeds vs. Nottingham Forest (Sat 3:00 PM) Morgan Gibbs-White has had over 1.5 shots in four of his last five Premier League appearances against Leeds.
Aston Villa vs. Brighton (Sun 2:00 PM) Matty Cash has been carded in five of his last eight Premier League matches against Brighton.
Man City vs. Bournemouth (Sun 2:00 PM) Phil Foden has scored or assisted in five of his last seven Premier League matches against Bournemouth.
Man City vs. Bournemouth (Sun 2:00 PM) There have been over 12.5 corners in three of the last four Premier League meetings between the two sides.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool (Sun 4:30 PM) Liverpool have scored over 1.5 goals in eight of their last eight Premier League matches against Newcastle.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool (Sun 4:30 PM) There have been over 4.5 goals in four of the last five Premier League meetings between these sides.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool (Sun 4:30 PM) Liverpool have had over 5.5 corners in eight of their last 10 Premier League matches with Newcastle.
Fulham vs. Chelsea (Mon 8:00 PM) Cole Palmer has had a shot on target in his last five Premier League matches against Fulham.
Fulham vs. Chelsea (Mon 8:00 PM) Moises Caicedo has won over 1.5 fouls in his last four Premier League matches against the Cottagers.
Choose the stats before finding the odds or betting offer
Finding your betting angle first and then checking if you want to take the price on offer is the better way to go with Premier League stats. Too many people look for odds they want to bet at first, then try to match a stat or selection to fit the price.
How do you identify the best free bet offers
The headline rewards rarely tell the full story. Minimum odds requirements and expiry windows differ enough between bookmakers to flip which free bet offers are genuinely worth more.
A more generous expiry window paired with lower qualifying odds can end up beating a bigger headline offer buried in stricter terms, so reading past the top-line number matters as much as reading the form guide.
Analyse expected goals over possession
Possession share tells you remarkably little about who wins in this league. Far more revealing is expected goals (xG) against, particularly when cross-referenced against who's actually missing through injury or suspension.
A back four missing its first-choice centre pairing concedes differently to how the underlying numbers suggest, and that context rarely shows up in a simple xG table.
The same logic applies at the other end. A striker running well ahead of his expected goals tally, or a defence conceding fewer than the numbers say they should, needs checking against squad news before it shapes a bet. Markets react fast to form. They react slowly to injury context buried in a team sheet. That lag is where the value tends to sit.