Sad state of the Bucs.
Let’s have some fun with numbers, shall we? Because we sure as hell are not having any fun with the Bucs on the field.
There are two topics Joe will deal with here. Playoff probabilities and draft probabilities.
Since the Bucs are no fun — vomit-inducing, actually — let’s deal with surreality first and then we will deal with something closer to reality.
First up, playoffs! Believe it or not, the Bucs have the second-best chance of all NFL South landfill teams of making the playoffs. No, really. That’s what BSPN says!
The numberscrunchers over at the four-letter give the Bucs a 14 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 12 percent chance of winning the division, despite having a 1-5 record. So all is not lost!
BSPN currently has Carolina with a 71 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 69 percent shot of winning the division.
Now onto something closer to reality. That is the draft.
Per BSPN’s calculations, the Bucs have an 84 percent chance of a top-10 pick in the draft next spring. A top-five pick? It’s basically a coin flip at 52 percent.
Now, when it comes to landing the No. 1 pick, that lies at eight percent.