Opta Predicts Where Everton With Finish in Premier League Table
TacticallyMatt@RoundtableIO profile image
TacticallyMatt@RoundtableIO profile image
Opta have predicted where Everton will finish in the Premier League this season.
Last season, it looked as though Europe was a serious opportunity for the Toffees, but then a catastrophic end to the campaign saw them come up short.
This campaign, just like the previous one, Everton are in a strong position in November, and they are on track to finish in the European places this term. So far this season, Everton are averaging 1.6 points per game. Over the course of the season, this puts you on around 60 points, which would likely see you finish in the European spots.
Maintaining that will be a difficult task for the Toffees. With David Moyes having a small squad to use, it's certainly not going to be easy, unless Everton have a strong summer transfer window.
Former strikers Gary Lineker and Alan Shearer are both in agreement with their assessment of Everton's Thierno Barry.roundtable.ioGary Lineker and Alan Shearer Agree on Everton's Thierno BarryFormer strikers Gary Lineker and Alan Shearer are both in agreement with their assessment of Everton's Thierno Barry.
Former strikers Gary Lineker and Alan Shearer are both in agreement with their assessment of Everton's Thierno Barry.
Opta predicts Everton's finish
Everton head into the international break on 16 points, and as mentioned, this would put us on 60 points at the end of the season if maintained. Opta thinks we will drift away from that slightly, predicting to finish with 53.8 points.
Based on the rest of their model, this would have Everton finishing in eighth position in the Premier League table. Opta believes that two sides below them, Bournemouth and Aston Villa, will finish sixth and seventh, respectively, seeing them climb above Everton in the table.
Opta's model doesn't just focus on points a team have already picked up, as proven by the fact Villa and Bournemouth are predicting to finish above us. They believe Villa will pick up 42 more points, whereas Everton will add just under 38.
Percentage chances
Winning the Premier League title isn't totally out of the question. Well, it is, but Opta gives Everton a 0.23% chance of 'doing a Leicester' and lifting the title by the end of the season.
As expected, Everton do have a stronger chance of being relegated than lifting the Premier League title, but it's an incredibly small percentage still. Opta predicts Everton to have a 2.4% chance of dropping down to the Championship this campaign. Comparing that to Manchester United makes for pleasant reading, with the Red Devils given a 20.9% chance of being relegated from the Premier League.
They give Everton a 7.5% chance of qualifiying for the Europa League, and in surprise, positive news, a 11.9% chance of qualifying for the Champions League.
It's certainly interesting that they give Everton a better chance of qualifying for the Champions League than they do for the Europa League.