Milwaukee visits Indianapolis tonight in the third of four regular-season battles this year between the Central Division foes.
The Bucks are 2-0 on the year against the Pacers after winning 129-117 in November (NBA Cup Group Play) and 120-112 in Indy on December 31.
Milwaukee (36-27) and Indiana (35-28) are separated by just one game in the standings as they battle for the 4-seed in the East.
With both teams looking to snap ugly losing streaks -- the Bucks have lost two in a row and the Pacers dropped their last three games against Atlanta (twice) and Chicago -- tonight's game should be interesting.
This game gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT/truTV/Max.
Bucks vs. Pacers Odds: Spread, ML, Total
A number of key players are currently listed as a game-time decision, so don't be surprised if the odds below change once we get announcements on the availability of Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Tyrese Haliburton T.J. McConnell.
But given that points props markets are currently available for Lillard, Giannis and Haliburton, all three will most likely be in action tonight.
FD DK bet365
MIL spread -2.5 (-110) -2.5 (-112) -2.5 (-110)
IND spread +2.5 (-110) +2.5 (-108) +2.5 (-110)
MIL ML -142 -142 -140
IND ML +120 +120 +120
Total 236.5 (o-110; u-110) 236 (o-108; u-112) 235.5 (o-110; u-110)
Best Player Prop Bets for Bucks vs. Pacers
Myles Turner 3+ 3-pointers (+155 at bet365) -- 0.75 units
The case for taking Turner to make three three-pointers starts with the tantalizing price bet365 is offering. While he's +110 at DraftKings and +142 at FanDuel in this market as of late Tuesday afternoon, this Turner prop is a much easier sell at +155.
Turner has made just 3-of-10 from outside in his last three games, but he is
A) shooting a career-best 40 percent from downtown (on a career-high 5.4 3PA per game) this year
B) less than a week removed from a torrid seven-game stretch from outside that ran from Feb. 20-March 4 (more on this below) and
C) 5-for-10 from deep vs. Milwaukee on the year
A bit more on that seven-game run (which gave way to a puzzling low-volume approach in each of his last three games that we're going to ignore/fade here): in those seven games, Turner averaged eight 3-point attempts per game. He took at least nine triples on three different occasions while knocking down 25 of his 56 total 3PA (nearly 46 percent).
In what should be a high-scoring game tonight (reminder: the previous meetings between these teams produced totals of 232 and 246) let's bank on Turner to get back to his trigger-happy ways from downtown.
Indy, which lost two close games to Atlanta and a blowout against Chicago with Turner reticent to let it fly over the last week, will likely be feeding its versatile big as it seeks a crucial bounce-back W at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
In 56 games this year, Turner has only finished with 3 or more made 3's 17 times. He's pulled this off five times in the last 10 games, however, with an average of 2.8 made threes per game in those contests.
Myles Turner o6.5 rebounds (-104 at FanDuel) -- 1 unit
Sticking with Turner, let's go with his rebounds prop as well tonight.
In the previous IND-MIL meetings this year, he grabbed eight and 10 boards, well above his season average of 6.5, which happens to be where is over/under is set for this evening.
Turner has been an inconsistent rebounder in recent weeks, but after grabbing just four rebounds in 23 minutes vs. the Bulls in an embarrassing loss last night, I expect him to hit the glass hard at home in tonight's crucial matchup.
I'll feel even more bullish about this play if Indiana forward Bennedict Mathurin, who is third on the Pacers in rebounds behind Pascal Siakam and Turner, gets limited minutes after missing four games from February 28-March 6 and playing less than 23 minutes last night.
Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction, Best Bets
It's tough to predict what will happen in a clash between two teams with nearly identical records, especially amid substantial injury concerns for both sides.
Given the fast pace both these teams play at, though, the over on tonight's total feels like the best play (both teams are among the top 10 in the league in pace, with the Pacers ranking ninth and the Bucks 10th, making a track meet a strong possibility).
Bucks vs. Pacers Best Bet
Over 235.5 (-110 at bet365) -- 0.5 units
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This story was originally published March 11, 2025 at 4:41 PM.