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Supercomputer predicts Inter have better Champions League odds than Real Madrid

[MILAN, ITALY - MARCH 11: Players of FC Internazionale greet their fans after their victory in the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 Round of 16 Second Leg match between FC Internazionale Milano and Feyenoord at Stadio San Siro on March 11, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)

MILAN, ITALY - MARCH 11: Players of FC Internazionale greet their fans after their victory in the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 Round of 16 Second Leg match between FC Internazionale Milano and Feyenoord at Stadio San Siro on March 11, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)](https://football-italia.net/supercomputer-inter-odds-champions-league/) Inter’s prospects in the Champions League have received a boost following their victory over Feyenoord in the Round of 16. However, despite their progress, the Nerazzurri remain the fourth-likeliest team to lift the trophy.

Inter’s Champions League chances rise after Feyenoord triumph

According to Opta’s supercomputer, Simone Inzaghi’s side has seen its title-winning chances rise from 12.7% to 16.4%, ranking them ahead of Real Madrid, who stand at 11.6%.

MILAN, ITALY - MARCH 11: Hakan Calhanoglu (L) celebrates scoring his team's second goal with teammates Mehdi Taremi (C) and Henrikh Mkhitaryan during the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 Round of 16 Second Leg match between FC Internazionale Milano and Feyenoord at Stadio San Siro on March 11, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)

MILAN, ITALY – MARCH 11: Hakan Calhanoglu (L) celebrates scoring his team’s second goal with teammates Mehdi Taremi (C) and Henrikh Mkhitaryan during the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 Round of 16 Second Leg match between FC Internazionale Milano and Feyenoord at Stadio San Siro on March 11, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)

Inter’s odds are also more favorable than those of their quarter-final opponents, Bayern Munich, with the German giants ranking sixth among the eight remaining contenders.

The Biscione registered the fourth-highest increase (+3.7%) in probability from the previous round, trailing only Bayern, Barcelona, and Paris Saint-Germain.

PSG, in particular, made a significant leap, increasing their chances by 10.5% after knocking out Arne Slot’s Liverpool. The Ligue 1 outfit are now the second-favorites to win the competition, climbing from 8.8% to 19.3%, just behind Barcelona, who lead the rankings with a 20.4% chance of claiming the title.

ROTTERDAM, NETHERLANDS - MARCH 05: Lautaro Martinez of FC Internazionale celebrates scoring his team's second goal during the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 Round of 16 first leg match between Feyenoord and FC Internazionale Milano at De Kuip on March 05, 2025 in Rotterdam, Netherlands. (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)

ROTTERDAM, NETHERLANDS – MARCH 05: Lautaro Martinez of FC Internazionale celebrates scoring his team’s second goal during the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 Round of 16 first leg match between Feyenoord and FC Internazionale Milano at De Kuip on March 05, 2025 in Rotterdam, Netherlands. (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)

Champions League winning probabilities after the Round of 16

Barcelona – 20,4% (+5%)

Paris Saint-Germain – 19.3% (+10,5%)

Arsenal – 16.8% (+3,2%)

Inter – 16.4% (+3,7%)

Real Madrid – 13.6% (+2%)

Bayern Munich – 9.7% (+4,9%)

Aston Villa – 2.8% (+1,8%)

Borussia Dortmund – 1% (+0,2%)

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